墨西哥部分地区与冰雹炮有关的暴雨事件

V. M. Rodríguez-Moreno, J. Estrada-Ávalos
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在这篇文章中,我们记录了墨西哥使用冰雹炮驱散或抑制暴雨的情况,这是农民的普遍做法,但没有科学证据支持其有效性。这项研究使用了两个雨量数据库:一个是全球降水量测量(GPM)任务汇编的数据库,另一个是气象研究和预测(WRF)模型实施过程中生成的数据库。目的是探索暴雨事件与冰雹炮位置之间的关联。分析包括两个地理特征:一对坐标和每个冰雹炮周围 3 公里半径的影响范围。这个维度基于暴雨事件的规模和分布。本研究使用带有机器学习库的 Python 生态系统环境分析了四年的半小时雨量数据。结果表明,冰雹炮的运行与强降雨事件的消散或衰减之间没有关系。不过,这项研究强调,GPM 和 WRF 数据库在记录暴雨事件方面的显著差异可能归因于其自身的不确定性。尽管没有地面观测数据,但冰雹炮在影响暴雨事件发生方面的低效率是显而易见的。总之,这项研究提供了科学证据,证明冰雹炮在防止暴雨事件发生方面效率低下。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Heavy Rainfall Events in Selected Geographic Regions of Mexico, Associated with Hail Cannons
In this article, we document the use of hail cannons in Mexico to dispel or suppress heavy rain episodes, a common practice among farmers, without scientific evidence to support its effectiveness. This study uses two rain databases: one compiled from the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) mission and the other generated with the implementation of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. The aim is to explore the association between heavy rain episodes and hail cannon locations. The analysis includes two geographic features: a pair of coordinates and a 3 km radius area of influence around each hail cannon. This dimension is based on the size and distribution of the heavy rainfall events. This study analyzes four years of half-hourly rain data using the Python ecosystem environment with machine learning libraries. The results show no relationship between the operation of hail cannons and the dissipation or attenuation of heavy rainfall events. However, this study highlights that the significant differences between the GPM and WRF databases in registering heavy rain events may be attributable to their own uncertainty. Despite the unavailability of ground-based observations, the inefficiency of hail cannons in affecting the occurrence of heavy rain events is evident. Overall, this study provides scientific evidence that hail cannons are inefficient in preventing the occurrence of heavy rain episodes.
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