揭示坦桑尼亚农村家庭照明偏好的决定因素:对可持续能源获取的启示

Aurelia Ngirwa Kamuzora
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文采用多项式 Logit 回归模型研究了坦桑尼亚农村地区家庭照明选择的决定因素和前景。分析基于 4671 个家庭的数据,重点关注三种照明选择:电力、太阳能和蜡烛照明。结果显示了影响这些选择的重要因素,包括户主特征、家庭规模、婚姻状况、教育程度、就业状况、房间数量和收入。主要研究结果表明,户主的年龄对选择电网供电的可能性有负面影响,而男性户主会显著降低选择任何照明方式的可能性。家庭规模越大,选择电力和蜡烛照明的可能性越小。婚姻状况表明,已婚家庭更有可能使用蜡烛照明。就业状况对采用所有三种照明方案的可能性都有积极影响,就业户主更有可能选择现代照明方案。收入水平至关重要,因为收入越高,选择电力和蜡烛照明的可能性越大,而选择太阳能的可能性则不大。这些发现为旨在提高坦桑尼亚农村地区可持续能源获取的政策制定者和利益相关者提供了宝贵的见解。它强调了解决社会经济因素以促进采用现代和可持续照明技术的重要性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Unveiling determinants of household lighting preferences in rural Tanzania: insights for sustainable energy access
This paper investigates the determinants and prospects of household lighting choices in rural Tanzania using a Multinomial Logit Regression Model. The analysis is based on data from 4671 households, focusing on three lighting options: electricity, solar energy, and candle lighting. The results reveal significant factors influencing these choices, including household head characteristics, household size, marital status, education, employment status, number of rooms, and income. Key findings indicate that the age of the household head negatively influences the likelihood of choosing grid-electricity, while having a male head of household significantly reduces the probability of opting for any lighting option. Larger household size is negatively associated with choosing electricity and candle lighting. Marital status shows that married households are more likely to use candle lighting. Employment status positively impacts the likelihood of adopting all three lighting options, with employed household heads being more likely to choose modern lighting solutions. Income levels are crucial, as higher income significantly increases the probability of selecting electricity and candle lighting, but not solar energy. These findings provide valuable insights for policymakers and stakeholders aiming to enhance sustainable energy access in rural Tanzania. It highlights the importance of addressing socio-economic factors to promote the adoption of modern and sustainable lighting technologies.
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