{"title":"应用德国股票指数数据和比特币加密货币数据检验稳定分布的拟合优度","authors":"Ruhul Ali Khan, Ayan Pal, Debasis Kundu","doi":"10.1007/s11222-024-10441-5","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>Outlier-prone data sets are of immense interest in diverse areas including economics, finance, statistical physics, signal processing, telecommunications and so on. Stable laws (also known as <span>\\(\\alpha \\)</span>- stable laws) are often found to be useful in modeling outlier-prone data containing important information and exhibiting heavy tailed phenomenon. In this article, an asymptotic distribution of a unbiased and consistent estimator of the stability index <span>\\(\\alpha \\)</span> is proposed based on jackknife empirical likelihood (JEL) and adjusted JEL method. Next, using the sum-preserving property of stable random variables and exploiting <i>U</i>-statistic theory, we have developed a goodness-of-fit test procedure for <span>\\(\\alpha \\)</span>-stable distributions where the stability index <span>\\(\\alpha \\)</span> is specified. Extensive simulation studies are performed in order to assess the finite sample performance of the proposed test. Finally, two appealing real life data examples related to the daily closing price of German Stock Index and Bitcoin cryptocurrency are analysed in detail for illustration purposes.</p>","PeriodicalId":22058,"journal":{"name":"Statistics and Computing","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.6000,"publicationDate":"2024-06-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Testing the goodness-of-fit of the stable distributions with applications to German stock index data and Bitcoin cryptocurrency data\",\"authors\":\"Ruhul Ali Khan, Ayan Pal, Debasis Kundu\",\"doi\":\"10.1007/s11222-024-10441-5\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>Outlier-prone data sets are of immense interest in diverse areas including economics, finance, statistical physics, signal processing, telecommunications and so on. Stable laws (also known as <span>\\\\(\\\\alpha \\\\)</span>- stable laws) are often found to be useful in modeling outlier-prone data containing important information and exhibiting heavy tailed phenomenon. In this article, an asymptotic distribution of a unbiased and consistent estimator of the stability index <span>\\\\(\\\\alpha \\\\)</span> is proposed based on jackknife empirical likelihood (JEL) and adjusted JEL method. Next, using the sum-preserving property of stable random variables and exploiting <i>U</i>-statistic theory, we have developed a goodness-of-fit test procedure for <span>\\\\(\\\\alpha \\\\)</span>-stable distributions where the stability index <span>\\\\(\\\\alpha \\\\)</span> is specified. Extensive simulation studies are performed in order to assess the finite sample performance of the proposed test. Finally, two appealing real life data examples related to the daily closing price of German Stock Index and Bitcoin cryptocurrency are analysed in detail for illustration purposes.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":22058,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Statistics and Computing\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-06-03\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Statistics and Computing\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"100\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11222-024-10441-5\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"数学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"COMPUTER SCIENCE, THEORY & METHODS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Statistics and Computing","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11222-024-10441-5","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"COMPUTER SCIENCE, THEORY & METHODS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
离群值数据集在经济、金融、统计物理、信号处理、电信等多个领域都有着巨大的意义。稳定规律(也称为 \(α\)- 稳定规律)经常被用来模拟包含重要信息并表现出重尾现象的离群易变数据。本文基于杰克刀经验似然法(JEL)和调整JEL法,提出了稳定指数\(\alpha \)的无偏一致估计值的渐近分布。接下来,我们利用稳定随机变量的保和性并利用 U 统计理论,为指定了稳定指数 ()的 \(\α \)-稳定分布建立了拟合优度检验程序。为了评估所提出的测试的有限样本性能,进行了广泛的模拟研究。最后,为了说明问题,详细分析了与德国股票指数和比特币加密货币每日收盘价相关的两个有吸引力的现实生活数据示例。
Testing the goodness-of-fit of the stable distributions with applications to German stock index data and Bitcoin cryptocurrency data
Outlier-prone data sets are of immense interest in diverse areas including economics, finance, statistical physics, signal processing, telecommunications and so on. Stable laws (also known as \(\alpha \)- stable laws) are often found to be useful in modeling outlier-prone data containing important information and exhibiting heavy tailed phenomenon. In this article, an asymptotic distribution of a unbiased and consistent estimator of the stability index \(\alpha \) is proposed based on jackknife empirical likelihood (JEL) and adjusted JEL method. Next, using the sum-preserving property of stable random variables and exploiting U-statistic theory, we have developed a goodness-of-fit test procedure for \(\alpha \)-stable distributions where the stability index \(\alpha \) is specified. Extensive simulation studies are performed in order to assess the finite sample performance of the proposed test. Finally, two appealing real life data examples related to the daily closing price of German Stock Index and Bitcoin cryptocurrency are analysed in detail for illustration purposes.
期刊介绍:
Statistics and Computing is a bi-monthly refereed journal which publishes papers covering the range of the interface between the statistical and computing sciences.
In particular, it addresses the use of statistical concepts in computing science, for example in machine learning, computer vision and data analytics, as well as the use of computers in data modelling, prediction and analysis. Specific topics which are covered include: techniques for evaluating analytically intractable problems such as bootstrap resampling, Markov chain Monte Carlo, sequential Monte Carlo, approximate Bayesian computation, search and optimization methods, stochastic simulation and Monte Carlo, graphics, computer environments, statistical approaches to software errors, information retrieval, machine learning, statistics of databases and database technology, huge data sets and big data analytics, computer algebra, graphical models, image processing, tomography, inverse problems and uncertainty quantification.
In addition, the journal contains original research reports, authoritative review papers, discussed papers, and occasional special issues on particular topics or carrying proceedings of relevant conferences. Statistics and Computing also publishes book review and software review sections.