{"title":"实现准确性：通过死亡率和百分比变化衡量 COVID-19","authors":"Joel A. Elvery","doi":"10.26509/frbc-ddb-20200408","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Relying on confirmed cases to compare the trajectory of the COVID-19 epidemic in different countries has significant limitations. Measuring mortality rates and their percentage changes proves to be a superior way to track the progression of the disease. The method shows that, as of April 5, the epidemic in the United States has a similar mortality rate to those in Europe and is more deadly than in China and South Korea.","PeriodicalId":395420,"journal":{"name":"Cleveland Fed District Data Briefs","volume":"33 5","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2020-04-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Getting to Accuracy: Measuring COVID-19 by Mortality Rates and Percentage Changes\",\"authors\":\"Joel A. Elvery\",\"doi\":\"10.26509/frbc-ddb-20200408\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Relying on confirmed cases to compare the trajectory of the COVID-19 epidemic in different countries has significant limitations. Measuring mortality rates and their percentage changes proves to be a superior way to track the progression of the disease. The method shows that, as of April 5, the epidemic in the United States has a similar mortality rate to those in Europe and is more deadly than in China and South Korea.\",\"PeriodicalId\":395420,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Cleveland Fed District Data Briefs\",\"volume\":\"33 5\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-04-08\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Cleveland Fed District Data Briefs\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.26509/frbc-ddb-20200408\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Cleveland Fed District Data Briefs","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.26509/frbc-ddb-20200408","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Getting to Accuracy: Measuring COVID-19 by Mortality Rates and Percentage Changes
Relying on confirmed cases to compare the trajectory of the COVID-19 epidemic in different countries has significant limitations. Measuring mortality rates and their percentage changes proves to be a superior way to track the progression of the disease. The method shows that, as of April 5, the epidemic in the United States has a similar mortality rate to those in Europe and is more deadly than in China and South Korea.
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