{"title":"存在删减时的信息矩阵等价性:多变量生存数据半参数共轭模型的拟合优度检验","authors":"Qian M. Zhou","doi":"10.1007/s00362-024-01566-w","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>Various goodness-of-fit tests are designed based on the so-called <i>information matrix equivalence</i>: if the assumed model is correctly specified, two information matrices that are derived from the likelihood function are equivalent. In the literature, this principle has been established for the likelihood function with fully observed data, but it has not been verified under the likelihood for censored data. In this manuscript, we prove the information matrix equivalence in the framework of semiparametric copula models for multivariate censored survival data. Based on this equivalence, we propose an information ratio (IR) test for the specification of the copula function. The IR statistic is constructed via comparing consistent estimates of the two information matrices. We derive the asymptotic distribution of the IR statistic and propose a parametric bootstrap procedure for the finite-sample <i>P</i>-value calculation. The performance of the IR test is investigated via a simulation study and a real data example.</p>","PeriodicalId":51166,"journal":{"name":"Statistical Papers","volume":"18 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.2000,"publicationDate":"2024-05-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Information matrix equivalence in the presence of censoring: a goodness-of-fit test for semiparametric copula models with multivariate survival data\",\"authors\":\"Qian M. Zhou\",\"doi\":\"10.1007/s00362-024-01566-w\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>Various goodness-of-fit tests are designed based on the so-called <i>information matrix equivalence</i>: if the assumed model is correctly specified, two information matrices that are derived from the likelihood function are equivalent. In the literature, this principle has been established for the likelihood function with fully observed data, but it has not been verified under the likelihood for censored data. In this manuscript, we prove the information matrix equivalence in the framework of semiparametric copula models for multivariate censored survival data. Based on this equivalence, we propose an information ratio (IR) test for the specification of the copula function. The IR statistic is constructed via comparing consistent estimates of the two information matrices. We derive the asymptotic distribution of the IR statistic and propose a parametric bootstrap procedure for the finite-sample <i>P</i>-value calculation. The performance of the IR test is investigated via a simulation study and a real data example.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":51166,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Statistical Papers\",\"volume\":\"18 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.2000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-05-31\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Statistical Papers\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"100\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00362-024-01566-w\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"数学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Statistical Papers","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00362-024-01566-w","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
各种拟合优度检验都是根据所谓的信息矩阵等价性设计的:如果假定模型的指定是正确的,那么从似然函数导出的两个信息矩阵是等价的。在文献中,这一原则是针对完全观测数据的似然函数建立的,但尚未在有删减数据的似然函数中得到验证。在本手稿中,我们在多变量删减生存数据的半参数 copula 模型框架下证明了信息矩阵等价性。基于这一等价性,我们提出了一种用于检验 copula 函数规范的信息比(IR)检验方法。IR 统计量是通过比较两个信息矩阵的一致估计值构建的。我们推导出了 IR 统计量的渐近分布,并提出了用于计算有限样本 P 值的参数引导程序。我们通过模拟研究和真实数据示例考察了 IR 检验的性能。
Information matrix equivalence in the presence of censoring: a goodness-of-fit test for semiparametric copula models with multivariate survival data
Various goodness-of-fit tests are designed based on the so-called information matrix equivalence: if the assumed model is correctly specified, two information matrices that are derived from the likelihood function are equivalent. In the literature, this principle has been established for the likelihood function with fully observed data, but it has not been verified under the likelihood for censored data. In this manuscript, we prove the information matrix equivalence in the framework of semiparametric copula models for multivariate censored survival data. Based on this equivalence, we propose an information ratio (IR) test for the specification of the copula function. The IR statistic is constructed via comparing consistent estimates of the two information matrices. We derive the asymptotic distribution of the IR statistic and propose a parametric bootstrap procedure for the finite-sample P-value calculation. The performance of the IR test is investigated via a simulation study and a real data example.
期刊介绍:
The journal Statistical Papers addresses itself to all persons and organizations that have to deal with statistical methods in their own field of work. It attempts to provide a forum for the presentation and critical assessment of statistical methods, in particular for the discussion of their methodological foundations as well as their potential applications. Methods that have broad applications will be preferred. However, special attention is given to those statistical methods which are relevant to the economic and social sciences. In addition to original research papers, readers will find survey articles, short notes, reports on statistical software, problem section, and book reviews.