Zijia Wang, Rui Guo, Linmu Zou, Tie Li, Xiangming Yao
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Impact Evaluation of COVID-19 on Transit Ridership: A Case Study of the Beijing Subway
A comprehensive understanding of the multifaceted ramifications of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) on transit ridership is imperative for the optimization of judicious traffic management policies. The intricate influences of this pandemic exhibit a high degree of complexity, dynamically evolving across spatial and temporal dimensions. At present, a nuanced understanding remains elusive regarding whether disparate influencing factors govern inbound and outbound passenger flows. This study propels the discourse forward by introducing a methodological synthesis that integrates time series anomaly detection, impact inference, and spatiotemporal analysis. This amalgamation establishes an analytical framework instrumental in elucidating the spatiotemporal heterogeneity intrinsic to individual impact events, grounded in extensive time series data. The resulting framework facilitates a nuanced delineation, affording a more precise extraction of the COVID-19 impact on subway ridership. Empirical findings derived from the daily trip data of the Beijing subway in 2020 substantiate the existence of conspicuous spatiotemporal variability in the determinants influencing relative shifts in inbound and outbound ridership. Notably, stations situated in high-risk areas manifest a conspicuous absence of correlation with outbound trips, exhibiting a discernibly negative impact solely on inbound trips. Conversely, stations servicing residential and enterprise locales demonstrate resilience, evincing an absence of significant perturbation induced by the outbreak.
期刊介绍:
Urban Rail Transit is a peer-reviewed, international, interdisciplinary and open-access journal published under the SpringerOpen brand that provides a platform for scientists, researchers and engineers of urban rail transit to publish their original, significant articles on topics in urban rail transportation operation and management, design and planning, civil engineering, equipment and systems and other related topics to urban rail transit. It is to promote the academic discussions and technical exchanges among peers in the field. The journal also reports important news on the development and operating experience of urban rail transit and related government policies, laws, guidelines, and regulations. It could serve as an important reference for decision¬makers and technologists in urban rail research and construction field.
Specific topics cover:
Column I: Urban Rail Transportation Operation and Management
• urban rail transit flow theory, operation, planning, control and management
• traffic and transport safety
• traffic polices and economics
• urban rail management
• traffic information management
• urban rail scheduling
• train scheduling and management
• strategies of ticket price
• traffic information engineering & control
• intelligent transportation system (ITS) and information technology
• economics, finance, business & industry
• train operation, control
• transport Industries
• transportation engineering
Column II: Urban Rail Transportation Design and Planning
• urban rail planning
• pedestrian studies
• sustainable transport engineering
• rail electrification
• rail signaling and communication
• Intelligent & Automated Transport System Technology ?
• rolling stock design theory and structural reliability
• urban rail transit electrification and automation technologies
• transport Industries
• transportation engineering
Column III: Civil Engineering
• civil engineering technologies
• maintenance of rail infrastructure
• transportation infrastructure systems
• roads, bridges, tunnels, and underground engineering ?
• subgrade and pavement maintenance and performance
Column IV: Equipments and Systems
• mechanical-electronic technologies
• manufacturing engineering
• inspection for trains and rail
• vehicle-track coupling system dynamics, simulation and control
• superconductivity and levitation technology
• magnetic suspension and evacuated tube transport
• railway technology & engineering
• Railway Transport Industries
• transport & vehicle engineering
Column V: other topics of interest
• modern tram
• interdisciplinary transportation research
• environmental impacts such as vibration, noise and pollution
Article types:
• Papers. Reports of original research work.
• Design notes. Brief contributions on current design, development and application work; not normally more than 2500 words (3 journal pages), including descriptions of apparatus or techniques developed for a specific purpose, important experimental or theoretical points and novel technical solutions to commonly encountered problems.
• Rapid communications. Brief, urgent announcements of significant advances or preliminary accounts of new work, not more than 3500 words (4 journal pages). The most important criteria for acceptance of a rapid communication are novel and significant. For these articles authors must state briefly, in a covering letter, exactly why their works merit rapid publication.
• Review articles. These are intended to summarize accepted practice and report on recent progress in selected areas. Such articles are generally commissioned from experts in various field s by the Editorial Board, but others wishing to write a review article may submit an outline for preliminary consideration.