机会游戏的文化演变:中国赌博的历史考察》(The Cultural Evolution of Games of Chance : A Historical Investigation of Chinese Gambling.

IF 2.2 2区 社会学 Q1 ANTHROPOLOGY
Ze Hong
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在历史上和许多不同的人类社会中,基于机会的赌博一直是一种经常性的文化活动。在本文中,我结合定量和定性数据,提出了一个文化进化框架,以解释为什么在前现代中国,概率游戏的赔率似乎是 "设计 "出来的,以确保适度但有利的庄家优势。这一点尤其耐人寻味,因为对概率史的广泛研究表明,在概率论发展之前,人们对随机事件本质的理解非常有限,而且普遍不愿意用数学方法来思考随机事件发生的频率。我认为,赌博中的概率游戏可能是通过选择性模仿和保留的过程在文化上演变成其记录形式的,而顾客和赌场都不了解这些游戏所涉及的概率计算。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Cultural Evolution of Games of Chance : A Historical Investigation of Chinese Gambling.

Chance-based gambling has been a recurrent cultural activity throughout history and across many diverse human societies. In this paper, I combine quantitative and qualitative data and present a cultural evolutionary framework to explain why the odds in games of chance in premodern China appeared "designed" to ensure a moderate yet favorable house advantage. This is especially intriguing since extensive research in the history of probability has shown that, prior to the development of probability theory, people had very limited understanding of the nature of random events and were generally disinclined to think mathematically about the frequency of their occurrence. I argue that games of chance in the context of gambling may have culturally evolved into their documented forms via a process of selective imitation and retention, and neither the customers nor the gambling houses understood the probability calculus involved in these games.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.70
自引率
8.00%
发文量
14
期刊介绍: Human Nature is dedicated to advancing the interdisciplinary investigation of the biological, social, and environmental factors that underlie human behavior. It focuses primarily on the functional unity in which these factors are continuously and mutually interactive. These include the evolutionary, biological, and sociological processes as they interact with human social behavior; the biological and demographic consequences of human history; the cross-cultural, cross-species, and historical perspectives on human behavior; and the relevance of a biosocial perspective to scientific, social, and policy issues.
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