利用 ANN 预测酒店能耗

Oscar Trull, Angel Peiro-Signes, J. Carlos Garcia-Diaz, Marival Segarra-Ona
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着游客和旅游目的地住宿人数的增加,酒店开始意识到其生态管理和高效能源消耗的必要性。为此,酒店越来越多地使用数字化系统,并对影响酒店管理的变量进行更频繁的测量。电能可以在预测酒店用电量方面发挥重要作用,这反过来又可以增强酒店的循环性--一种旨在实现可持续和高效资源利用的方法。在这项研究中,我们根据历史数据训练神经网络来预测两家酒店的用电模式。结果表明,预测结果的 MAPE 准确度约为 2.5%,显示了使用这些技术进行酒店用电预测的潜力。此外,神经网络模型还可以利用气候数据来改进预测。通过准确预测能源需求,酒店可以优化其能源采购和使用,将能源密集型活动转移到非高峰时段以降低成本和电网压力,协助更好地整合可再生能源,或识别能源消耗的模式和异常情况,为提高效率提出建议等。因此,通过优化资源配置、减少浪费和提高效率,这些模型可以改善酒店的循环性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Prediction of energy consumption in hotels using ANN
The increase in travelers and stays in tourist destinations is leading hotels to be aware of their ecological management and the need for efficient energy consumption. To achieve this, hotels are increasingly using digitalized systems and more frequent measurements are made of the variables that affect their management. Electricity can play a significant role, predicting electricity usage in hotels, which in turn can enhance their circularity - an approach aimed at sustainable and efficient resource use. In this study, neural networks are trained to predict electricity usage patterns in two hotels based on historical data. The results indicate that the predictions have a good accuracy level of around 2.5% in MAPE, showing the potential of using these techniques for electricity forecasting in hotels. Additionally, neural network models can use climatological data to improve predictions. By accurately forecasting energy demand, hotels can optimize their energy procurement and usage, moving energy-intensive activities to off-peak hours to reduce costs and strain on the grid, assisting in the better integration of renewable energy sources, or identifying patterns and anomalies in energy consumption, suggesting areas for efficiency improvements, among other. Hence, by optimizing the allocation of resources, reducing waste and improving efficiency these models can improve hotel's circularity.
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