利用格兰杰因果关系分析调查航空旅行与旅游业的关系:土耳其目的地案例

IF 0.7 Q3 ECONOMICS
Mehmet Yaşar
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引用次数: 0

摘要

航空运输的主要好处之一是可以让人们快速从一个地方到达另一个地方。与其他交通方式相比,这使人们能够更快地到达目的地,以实现旅游、商务和教育等目的。本研究旨在调查航空旅行与各细分市场旅游需求之间的因果关系。通过格兰杰因果关系分析法,按月分析了 2017-2021 年期间土耳其国内乘客人数、国际乘客人数和乘客总数与国内游客人数、国际游客人数和游客总数之间的因果关系。研究结果表明,国内旅游人数与国内旅游需求之间存在双向因果关系,旅游总人数与旅游总需求之间也存在双向因果关系。入境游客需求与国际游客数量之间存在单向因果关系。这项研究有望为相关成果的研究工作锦上添花。它还将对基础设施和政策决策者产生影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Investigating the Air Travel-Tourism Relationship Using Granger Causality Analysis: The Case of Turkish Destinations
One of the main benefits of air transport is that it allows people to travel quickly from one place to another. This allows people to reach their destinations faster than other modes of transport for purposes such as tourism, business and education. The aim of this study is to investigate the causality relationships between air travel and tourism demand by each market segment. The causality relationship between the number of domestic passengers, international passengers and total number of passengers and the number of domestic tourists, international tourists and total number of tourists is analyzed on a monthly basis for the period 2017–2021 in Turkey with Granger causality analysis. The findings revealed a two-way causal relationship between the number of domestic travelers and the demand for domestic tourism, as well as a two-way relationship between the demand for total travelers and the demand for total tourism. There is a unidirectional causal connection between the demand for inbound tourists and the quantity of international travelers. The research is expected to add to the body of work on the outcomes. It will also have implications for those who make decisions about infrastructure and policy.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
16.70%
发文量
20
审稿时长
30 weeks
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