管理风险,收获回报:气候变化期货改变能源期货市场的游戏规则

IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Mohammad Enamul Hoque, M. Kabir Hassan, Luca Pezzo
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气候变化期货为低碳投资组合和能源市场风险对冲提供了一个平台。气候变化给能源商品市场带来了不确定性。我们使用动态条件相关性(DCC)-普通最小二乘法(OLS),结合量子二乘法(quantile-dummies)和交叉量子图(CQ)方法,研究了利用气候变化期货分散和对冲能源商品市场风险的潜力。DCC-OLS 模型显示,世界和美国气候变化期货可以分散石油、乙醇、汽油和汽油的风险。这些期货还显示出天然气、煤炭和取暖油的套期保值功能。除石油和汽油外,欧洲气候变化期货显示出对所有能源商品的套期保值能力。面对布伦特原油、汽油和取暖油的高波动性,世界、美国和欧洲气候变化期货有可能成为避险金融工具。CQ显示,世界、美国和欧元气候变化期货对石油、天然气、煤炭、天然气油、汽油和取暖油期货具有对冲和避险能力。气候变化期货可在能源商品剧烈波动时保护金融投资。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Managing risk and reaping rewards: Climate-change futures as a game-changer for energy futures markets

Climate-change futures provide a platform for low-carbon portfolios and energy market risk hedging. Climate changes induce uncertainty in energy-commodity markets. We investigate the potential of diversifying and hedging energy-commodity market risk with climate-change futures, using dynamic conditional correlation (DCC)-ordinary least squares (OLS) incorporating quantile-dummies and cross-quantilogram (CQ) approaches. DCC-OLS models reveal that the World and USA climate-change futures exhibit that they can be diversifiers for oil, ethanol, gasoil, and gasoline. These futures also exhibit hedging features for natural gas, coal, and heating oil. Euro climate-change futures demonstrate hedging capabilities for all energy commodities except oil and gasoil. World, USA, and Euro climate-change futures have the potential to serve as safe-haven financial instruments in the face of the high volatility of Brent crude oil, gasoil, and heating oil. The CQ reveals that World, USA, and Euro climate-change futures exhibit hedging and safe-haven capacity against oil, natural gas, coal, gasoil, gasoline, and heating futures. Climate-change futures may protect financial investments during extreme volatility in energy commodities.

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来源期刊
Journal of Futures Markets
Journal of Futures Markets BUSINESS, FINANCE-
CiteScore
3.70
自引率
15.80%
发文量
91
期刊介绍: The Journal of Futures Markets chronicles the latest developments in financial futures and derivatives. It publishes timely, innovative articles written by leading finance academics and professionals. Coverage ranges from the highly practical to theoretical topics that include futures, derivatives, risk management and control, financial engineering, new financial instruments, hedging strategies, analysis of trading systems, legal, accounting, and regulatory issues, and portfolio optimization. This publication contains the very latest research from the top experts.
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