喀麦隆西北部姆布姆高原姆博罗罗社区的气候变异与社会经济发展挑战

Ngwani Awudu, Funwi Godlove Ngwa, Suiven John Paul, Yinkfu Randy, Ngeh Roland Nformi
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摘要

本研究旨在调查喀麦隆西北部姆布姆高原姆博罗罗生计来源所面临的挑战。研究采用了解释性研究方法,明确了研究变量之间关系的性质和方向。研究采用了定性和定量的混合方法。研究采用了第一手和第二手数据来源,以得出符合实际的结果。降雨季节性指数(SI)和标准化降水指数(SPI)被用来评估农业-水文系统对气候变异的脆弱性。使用的主要原始数据来源是实地调查、访谈和问卷调查。采用分层随机抽样和雪球抽样技术共发放了 200 份调查问卷。从已出版和未出版材料中获得的二手资料对所获得的数据进行了补充。实地调查期间收集的数据通过两种统计技术进行了分析。定性数据通过内容分析进行分析,对信息提供者的不同意见和看法赋予主题和代码,并由此确定其频率和百分比。数据以表格、图表、地图和图形的形式呈现,并尝试进行一些解释。数据分析采用了卡方和多元回归模型。研究结果表明,气候多变、牧场减少和溪流排水量低正在对姆博罗罗社区产生负面影响。卫星图像显示,多年来,土地使用一直在发生变化,牧场的空中范围和质量都在下降,姆布姆高原的供水点也在减少。为了适应姆博罗罗人牛群数量减少的情况,他们开始从事耕作、潜水、贩卖橡胶臂和上学等新的谋生手段。研究建议,通过鼓励引进抗旱牛种、布拉查里亚和危地马拉草来补充天然牧场,从而实现可持续的放牧活动。农业部应定期控制牛群规模,以确保生态系统平衡,避免过度放牧。应妥善划定放牧区,以避免农民与放牧者之间经常发生冲突以及该地区经常出现偷牛事件。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Climatic Variations and Challenges to Socio-economic Development amongst Mbororo Communities in Mbum Plateau, North West Region of Cameroon
This study sets out to investigate the challenges hindering Mbororo sources of livelihood in Mbum Plateau, North West Region of Cameroon. Explanatory research was used where it specify the nature and direction of the relationships between the studied variables. The study used mixed methods of qualitative and quantitative approaches. The study employed the primary and secondary data sources to bring out realistic results. Rainfall Seasonality Index (SI) and Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) were employed to assess the vulnerability of the agro-hydrological system to climate variation. The major primary data sources used were field survey, interviews and questionnaires. A total of 200 questionnaires were distributed using stratified random and snow ball sampling techniques. The data obtained was complemented by secondary sources from published and unpublished materials. Data collected during the field survey were analyzed through two statistical techniques. The qualitative data obtained was analyzed through the content analysis whereas themes and codes were given to the different opinions and perceptions of the informants and their frequencies and percentages were being determined from there. Data were presented in tables, charts, maps, and graphs with some attempted interpretations. Data were analyzed using the chi-square and multiple regression models. The findings revealed that climate variability, dwindling pasture and low streams discharge are having negative effects on Mbororo communities. It was observed from satellite images that, land use over the years has been changing with reducing aerial extent and quality of pasture, reducing water points in Mbum Plateau. In order to adapt the decreasing cattle numbers on the side of the Mborroro, they have taken farming, diving, hawking arm rubbery, and schooling as new livelihoods sustenance. The study recommends a sustainable pastoral activity by encouraging the introduction of drought resistant cattle species, Bracharia and Guatemala grass to supplement the natural pasture. MINEPAI should regularly control herd size so as to ensure ecosystem balance and avoid overgrazing. Transhumance tracts and areas should be well demarcated to avoid frequent farmer-grazers’ conflicts and frequent cattle theft observed in the region.
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