{"title":"通过缩减法对均值和协方差模型进行联合稳健变量选择","authors":"Y. Güney, Fulya Gokalp Yavuz, Olcay Arslan","doi":"10.1111/insr.12577","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"A valuable and robust extension of the traditional joint mean and the covariance models when data subject to outliers and/or heavy‐tailed outcomes can be achieved using the joint modelling of location and scatter matrix of the multivariate t‐distribution. This model encompasses three models in itself, and the number of unknown parameters in the covariance model increases quadratically with the matrix size. As a result, selecting the important variables becomes a crucial aspect to consider. In this context, the variable selection combined with the parameter estimation is considered under the normality assumption. However, because of the non‐robustness of the normal distribution, the resulting estimators will be sensitive to outliers and/or heavy taildness in the data. This paper has two objectives to overcome these problems. The first is to obtain the maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters and propose an expectation‐maximisation type algorithm as an alternative to the Fisher scoring algorithm in the literature. We also consider simultaneous parameter estimation and variable selection in the multivariate t‐joint location and scatter matrix models. The consistency and oracle properties of the regularised estimators are also established. Simulation studies and real data analysis are provided to assess the performance of the proposed methods.","PeriodicalId":14479,"journal":{"name":"International Statistical Review","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.7000,"publicationDate":"2024-05-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Joint Robust Variable Selection of Mean and Covariance Model via Shrinkage Methods\",\"authors\":\"Y. Güney, Fulya Gokalp Yavuz, Olcay Arslan\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/insr.12577\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"A valuable and robust extension of the traditional joint mean and the covariance models when data subject to outliers and/or heavy‐tailed outcomes can be achieved using the joint modelling of location and scatter matrix of the multivariate t‐distribution. This model encompasses three models in itself, and the number of unknown parameters in the covariance model increases quadratically with the matrix size. As a result, selecting the important variables becomes a crucial aspect to consider. In this context, the variable selection combined with the parameter estimation is considered under the normality assumption. However, because of the non‐robustness of the normal distribution, the resulting estimators will be sensitive to outliers and/or heavy taildness in the data. This paper has two objectives to overcome these problems. The first is to obtain the maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters and propose an expectation‐maximisation type algorithm as an alternative to the Fisher scoring algorithm in the literature. We also consider simultaneous parameter estimation and variable selection in the multivariate t‐joint location and scatter matrix models. The consistency and oracle properties of the regularised estimators are also established. Simulation studies and real data analysis are provided to assess the performance of the proposed methods.\",\"PeriodicalId\":14479,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"International Statistical Review\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-05-24\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"International Statistical Review\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"100\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1111/insr.12577\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"数学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Statistical Review","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1111/insr.12577","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
当数据存在异常值和/或重尾结果时,可以利用多变量 t 分布的位置和散点矩阵联合建模来实现对传统的均值和协方差联合模型的有价值和稳健的扩展。该模型本身包含三个模型,而协方差模型中未知参数的数量与矩阵大小成二次方增加。因此,选择重要变量就成了一个需要考虑的关键问题。在这种情况下,变量选择与参数估计结合在一起,是在正态性假设下考虑的。然而,由于正态分布的非稳健性,所得到的估计值会对数据中的异常值和/或重尾敏感。本文有两个目标来克服这些问题。首先是获得参数的最大似然估计值,并提出一种期望最大化类型的算法,以替代文献中的费雪评分算法。我们还考虑了多变量 t 关节位置和散点矩阵模型中的同步参数估计和变量选择。我们还建立了正则化估计器的一致性和甲骨文特性。我们还提供了模拟研究和真实数据分析,以评估所提出方法的性能。
Joint Robust Variable Selection of Mean and Covariance Model via Shrinkage Methods
A valuable and robust extension of the traditional joint mean and the covariance models when data subject to outliers and/or heavy‐tailed outcomes can be achieved using the joint modelling of location and scatter matrix of the multivariate t‐distribution. This model encompasses three models in itself, and the number of unknown parameters in the covariance model increases quadratically with the matrix size. As a result, selecting the important variables becomes a crucial aspect to consider. In this context, the variable selection combined with the parameter estimation is considered under the normality assumption. However, because of the non‐robustness of the normal distribution, the resulting estimators will be sensitive to outliers and/or heavy taildness in the data. This paper has two objectives to overcome these problems. The first is to obtain the maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters and propose an expectation‐maximisation type algorithm as an alternative to the Fisher scoring algorithm in the literature. We also consider simultaneous parameter estimation and variable selection in the multivariate t‐joint location and scatter matrix models. The consistency and oracle properties of the regularised estimators are also established. Simulation studies and real data analysis are provided to assess the performance of the proposed methods.
期刊介绍:
International Statistical Review is the flagship journal of the International Statistical Institute (ISI) and of its family of Associations. It publishes papers of broad and general interest in statistics and probability. The term Review is to be interpreted broadly. The types of papers that are suitable for publication include (but are not limited to) the following: reviews/surveys of significant developments in theory, methodology, statistical computing and graphics, statistical education, and application areas; tutorials on important topics; expository papers on emerging areas of research or application; papers describing new developments and/or challenges in relevant areas; papers addressing foundational issues; papers on the history of statistics and probability; white papers on topics of importance to the profession or society; and historical assessment of seminal papers in the field and their impact.