Dynamic Scaling Prediction Model and Application in Near-Wellbore Formation of Ultradeep Natural Gas Reservoirs

To address the significant scaling challenges within the near-wellbore formation of ultradeep natural gas reservoirs characterized by high temperature and high salinity, we developed a dynamic scaling prediction model. This model is specifically designed for the prediction of scaling in gas-water two-phase seepage within fractured-matrix dual-porosity reservoirs. It accounts for the concentration effects resulting from the evaporation of water on formation water ions. Our scaling model is discretely solved using the finite volume method. We also conducted on-site dynamic scaling simulations for gas wells, allowing us to precisely predict the distribution of ion concentrations in the reservoir, as well as changes in porosity and permeability properties, and the scaling law dynamics. The simulation results reveal a significant drop in formation pressure, decreasing from 105 MPa to 76.7 MPa after 7.5 years of production. The near-wellbore formation is particularly affected by severe scaling, mainly attributed to the radial pressure drop funneling effect, leading to a reduction in scaling ion concentrations in the vicinity of the wellbore. Calcium carbonate is identified as the predominant scaling component within the reservoir, while calcium sulfate serves as a secondary contributor, together accounting for roughly 85.2% of the total scaling deposits. In contrast, the scaling impact on the matrix system within the reservoir remains minimal. However, the central fracture system exhibits notable damage, with reductions of 71.2% in porosity and 59.8% in permeability. The fracture system within a 5-m radius around the wellbore is recognized as the primary area of scaling damage in the reservoir. The use of the simulation approach proposed in this study can offer valuable support for analyzing the dynamic scaling patterns in gasfield reservoirs and optimizing scaling mitigation processes.