The impact of vertical mixing on the variability of salinity in the Black Sea pycnocline: Role of winter convection, vertical shear and mediterranean waters injections.

Rapid rise of salinity is observed in the Black Sea in recent years, with the largest positive trend (0.07 psμ per 10 years) detected in the pycnocline. We use long-term hydrological measurements for 1985–2019 to show that salinity of pycnocline has intense seasonal and interannual variability modulated by the mechanical and convective mixing. In the warm period of a year, shear turbulence driven by strong winds and intense geostrophic currents causes the penetration of warm waters into the lower density layers. This is accompanied by the rise in their salinity, the source of which is the deep saline waters situated below the halocline. This process is most intense in the areas of downwelling and intensifies in the autumn period, when thermal stratification is relatively weak. Another important reason is the entrainment of salty Mediterranean waters in the upper part of the Black Sea halocline, which is modulated by the deepening of the seasonal thermocline near the Bosphorus strait and mechanical mixing.

The increase of salinity is compensated during cold winters, when convective mixing transports fresher water influenced by river discharge into lower density layers of the basin and causes a decrease in pycnocline salinity. This process is most intense in the center of the cyclonic gyres, where pycnocline is located closer to the surface and winter temperature reaches minimal values.

Due to the long-term warming of the Black Sea, the process of freshening of deep layers now is observed only in rare cold years. At the same time, an intensification of wind speed, vorticity, and geostrophic circulation processes promote the blurring of the halocline and the rise of the salinity of the Black Sea upper layers. Such rise begins after 2007 in the upper part of Black Sea halocline (depth 50–100 m) and is traced down to 250 m by 2020.