太阳能光伏产业发展对中国主要矿产品供求关系的影响

IF 1.9 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENERGY & FUELS
Qing Guo, Kaiyi Wu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

矿产资源在国家经济和社会发展中的重要性不容忽视,对于确保中国经济和社会的持续繁荣具有至关重要的意义。在国家积极推进清洁能源产业的背景下,光伏产业的蓬勃发展引发了对其关键原材料,尤其是重要金属矿产日益增长的需求。文章以系统动力学理论为基础,利用 Vensim 构建了光伏电池-关键金属矿产仿真模型,深入分析了我国光伏产业的发展情况,并重点探讨了其对关键矿产供需关系的深远影响。研究结果表明:(1)中国光伏电池呈现出强劲的增长势头;(2)回收利用和技术替代可以显著降低铜铝供需失衡的风险;(3)在降低铜铝供需失衡方面,技术替代比回收利用更有效。基于上述结论,文章提出了相应的政策建议。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Influence of the development of solar photovoltaic industry on the relationship between supply and demand of key minerals in China
The importance of mineral resources cannot be ignored in the country's economic and social development and is of vital significance in securing China's continued economic and social prosperity. Against the backdrop of the country's active promotion of the clean energy industry, the booming development of the photovoltaic industry has triggered a growing demand for its key raw materials, especially important metallic minerals. Based on the system dynamics theory, the article uses Vensim to construct a photovoltaic cell-key metal mineral simulation model to analyze the development of China's photovoltaic industry in depth and focuses on its far-reaching impact on the supply and demand relationship of key minerals. The results of the study show that (1) China's photovoltaic cells show strong growth; (2) recycling and technology substitution can significantly reduce the risk of copper and aluminum supply and demand imbalance; and (3) technology substitution is more effective than recycling in reducing the supply and demand imbalance of copper and aluminum. Based on the above-mentioned findings, the article puts forward corresponding policy recommendations.
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来源期刊
Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy
Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy ENERGY & FUELS-ENERGY & FUELS
CiteScore
4.30
自引率
12.00%
发文量
122
审稿时长
4.2 months
期刊介绍: The Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy (JRSE) is an interdisciplinary, peer-reviewed journal covering all areas of renewable and sustainable energy relevant to the physical science and engineering communities. The interdisciplinary approach of the publication ensures that the editors draw from researchers worldwide in a diverse range of fields. Topics covered include: Renewable energy economics and policy Renewable energy resource assessment Solar energy: photovoltaics, solar thermal energy, solar energy for fuels Wind energy: wind farms, rotors and blades, on- and offshore wind conditions, aerodynamics, fluid dynamics Bioenergy: biofuels, biomass conversion, artificial photosynthesis Distributed energy generation: rooftop PV, distributed fuel cells, distributed wind, micro-hydrogen power generation Power distribution & systems modeling: power electronics and controls, smart grid Energy efficient buildings: smart windows, PV, wind, power management Energy conversion: flexoelectric, piezoelectric, thermoelectric, other technologies Energy storage: batteries, supercapacitors, hydrogen storage, other fuels Fuel cells: proton exchange membrane cells, solid oxide cells, hybrid fuel cells, other Marine and hydroelectric energy: dams, tides, waves, other Transportation: alternative vehicle technologies, plug-in technologies, other Geothermal energy
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