机器学习对撒哈拉以南非洲艾滋病毒爆发预测的启示

Charles Chukwudalu Ebulue, Ogochukwu Virginia Ekkeh, Ogochukwu Roseline Ebulue, Chukwunonso Sylvester Ekesiobi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

撒哈拉以南非洲地区受艾滋病疫情的影响尤为严重,预测和预防该地区的艾滋病疫情爆发仍是一项重大挑战。本综述探讨了使用机器学习(ML)预测高风险地区艾滋病传播的有效性和挑战。ML 模型在识别 HIV 数据中的模式和趋势方面已显示出良好的前景,从而能够进行更准确的预测和有针对性的干预。对艾滋病毒爆发预测的 ML 见解利用了各种数据源,包括人口、流行病学和行为数据。通过分析这些数据,ML 算法可以识别易受 HIV 传播影响的高危人群和地理区域。这些信息对于公共卫生部门高效分配资源和有效实施预防措施至关重要。尽管有潜在的益处,但在使用 ML 进行艾滋病爆发预测时仍存在一些挑战。其中包括数据质量问题,如数据不完整或不准确,这会影响预测的可靠性。此外,HIV 传播动态的复杂性和对实时数据的需求也对 ML 模型提出了挑战。为了应对这些挑战,研究人员和从业人员正在探索创新方法,如整合多个数据源和使用先进的 ML 技术。研究人员、公共卫生官员和技术专家之间的合作对于开发用于预测艾滋病爆发的强大 ML 模型也至关重要。总之,尽管 ML 为撒哈拉以南非洲地区的艾滋病疫情预测提供了宝贵的见解,但解决数据质量和模型复杂性等挑战对其有效使用至关重要。通过克服这些挑战,ML 有可能显著改善 HIV 预防工作,并最终减轻该地区的疫情负担。关键词 机器学习、人工智能、艾滋病爆发:预测、洞察。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Machine learning insights into HIV outbreak predictions in Sub-Saharan Africa
Predicting and preventing HIV outbreaks in Sub-Saharan Africa, a region disproportionately affected by the epidemic remains a significant challenge. This review explores the effectiveness and challenges of using machine learning (ML) for forecasting HIV spread in high-risk areas. ML models have shown promise in identifying patterns and trends in HIV data, enabling more accurate predictions and targeted interventions. ML insights into HIV outbreak predictions leverage various data sources, including demographic, epidemiological, and behavioural data. By analysing these data, ML algorithms can identify high-risk populations and geographical areas susceptible to HIV transmission. This information is crucial for public health authorities to allocate resources efficiently and implement preventive measures effectively. Despite the potential benefits, several challenges exist in using ML for HIV outbreak predictions. These include data quality issues, such as incomplete or inaccurate data, which can affect the reliability of predictions. Additionally, the complexity of HIV transmission dynamics and the need for real-time data pose challenges for ML models. To address these challenges, researchers and practitioners are exploring innovative approaches, such as integrating multiple data sources and using advanced ML techniques. Collaborations between researchers, public health officials, and technology experts are also crucial for developing robust ML models for HIV outbreak predictions. In conclusion, while ML offers valuable insights into HIV outbreak predictions in Sub-Saharan Africa, addressing challenges such as data quality and model complexity is essential for its effective use. By overcoming these challenges, ML has the potential to significantly improve HIV prevention efforts and ultimately reduce the burden of the epidemic in the region. Keywords:   Machine Learning, AI, HIV Outbreaks: Predictions, Insights.
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