基于图片模糊集的专家行为驱动的专家权重调整共识达成模型

Meiqin Wu, Linyuan Ma, Jianping Fan
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摘要

本文提出了一种专家驱动的共识与决策模型,全面考虑了多标准决策(MCDM)情景中的专家行为。在专家愿意调整观点的前提下,该框架力求在可行的最大程度上达成群体共识。针对专家在评价过程中的不确定性,本文采用图片模糊集(PFS)中的拒绝度来表示专家在发表评价意见时的无知程度。由于专家意见的多样性,现实中很难达成群体共识。因此,本文还提出了一种调整未达成共识的专家权重的策略。这种方法既维护了数据的完整性,又保证了最终决策的精确性。最后,本文通过对中国发电厂最优碳减排方案选择的案例研究,证实了上述模型的有效性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A consensus reaching model for expert behavior-driven adjustment of expert weights based on picture fuzzy sets
This article proposes an expert-driven consensus and decision-making model that comprehensively considers expert behavior in Multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) scenarios. Under the premise that experts are willing to adjust their viewpoints, the framework strives to reach group consensus to the utmost degree feasible. To tackle experts’ uncertainty during the evaluation process, this article employs the rejection degree in the picture fuzzy sets (PFS) to signify the level of ignorance while they deliver their evaluation opinions. Due to the diversity of expert views, reaching a group consensus is difficult in reality. Therefore, this article additionally presents a strategy for adjusting the weights of experts who did not reach consensus. This approach upholds data integrity and guarantees the precision of the ultimate decision. Finally, this article confirms the efficiency of the aforementioned model by means of a case study on selecting the optimal carbon reduction alternative for Chinese power plants.
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