中国长江上游极端降水变化的特征

Water Supply Pub Date : 2024-05-09 DOI:10.2166/ws.2024.106
Ting Chen, Ye Yao, Hui Chen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文利用 1961-2021 年的日降水量数据,通过基于趋势法的极端降水指标、Mann-Kendall 趋势检验和重标定极端偏差极端偏差,分析了长江上游极端降水的时空特征。得出以下结论:长江上游降水总体偏少,雨日偏少。极端降水频次总体减少,但极端降水强度空间差异较大,使得极端降水发生更为集中,破坏性更大。2000 年以后,极端降水指标出现了较大幅度的波动,尤其是极端降水强度。长江上游极端降水频率最高的是长江流域干流和乌江流域,极端降水强度最高的是嘉陵江流域和乌江流域,极端降水累积量最高的是嘉陵江流域和乌江流域,而极端降水强度和频率站最大值均出现在岷江流域。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Characterisation of extreme precipitation changes in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River, China
The paper analyses the spatial and temporal characteristics of extreme precipitation in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River through extreme precipitation indicators based on the trend method, the Mann–Kendall trend test, and the rescaled extreme deviation extreme deviation using daily precipitation data from 1961 to 2021. The following conclusions were obtained: The overall precipitation in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River is reduced, and the number of rainy days is reduced. The frequency of extreme precipitation is generally reduced, but the spatial difference in the intensity of extreme precipitation is greater, which makes the occurrence of extreme precipitation more concentrated and more destructive. Extreme precipitation indicators showed relatively large fluctuations after 2000, especially in terms of extreme precipitation intensity. The frequency of extreme precipitation in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River is the highest in the main stream of the Yangtze River Basin and the Wujiang River Basin, the intensity of extreme precipitation is in the Jialing River and the Wujiang River Basin, and the accumulation of extreme precipitation is the highest in the Jialing River and the Wujiang River Basin, whereas the maximum value of the station extreme precipitation intensity and frequency is in the Minjiang River Basin.
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