A combination of radiomic features, clinic characteristics, and serum tumor biomarkers to predict the possibility of the micropapillary/solid component of lung adenocarcinoma.

Background: Invasive lung adenocarcinoma with MPP/SOL components has a poor prognosis and often shows a tendency to recurrence and metastasis. This poor prognosis may require adjustment of treatment strategies. Preoperative identification is essential for decision-making for subsequent treatment.

Objective: This study aimed to preoperatively predict the probability of MPP/SOL components in lung adenocarcinomas by a comprehensive model that includes radiomics features, clinical characteristics, and serum tumor biomarkers.

Design: A retrospective case control, diagnostic accuracy study.

Methods: This study retrospectively recruited 273 patients (males: females, 130: 143; mean age ± standard deviation, 63.29 ± 10.03 years; range 21-83 years) who underwent resection of invasive lung adenocarcinoma. Sixty-one patients (22.3%) were diagnosed with lung adenocarcinoma with MPP/SOL components. Radiomic features were extracted from CT before surgery. Clinical, radiomic, and combined models were developed using the logistic regression algorithm. The clinical and radiomic signatures were integrated into a nomogram. The diagnostic performance of the models was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC). Studies were scored according to the Radiomics Quality Score and Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis guidelines.

Results: The radiomics model achieved the best AUC values of 0.858 and 0.822 in the training and test cohort, respectively. Tumor size (T_size), solid tumor size (ST_size), consolidation-to-tumor ratio (CTR), years of smoking, CYFRA 21-1, and squamous cell carcinoma antigen were used to construct the clinical model. The clinical model achieved AUC values of 0.741 and 0.705 in the training and test cohort, respectively. The nomogram showed higher AUCs of 0.894 and 0.843 in the training and test cohort, respectively.

Conclusion: This study has developed and validated a combined nomogram, a visual tool that integrates CT radiomics features with clinical indicators and serum tumor biomarkers. This innovative model facilitates the differentiation of micropapillary or solid components within lung adenocarcinoma and achieves a higher AUC, indicating superior predictive accuracy.