Kundan Mukhia, Anish Rai, SR Luwang, Md Nurujjaman, Sushovan Majhi, Chittaranjan Hens
{"title":"崩盘期间加密货币市场的复杂网络分析","authors":"Kundan Mukhia, Anish Rai, SR Luwang, Md Nurujjaman, Sushovan Majhi, Chittaranjan Hens","doi":"arxiv-2405.05642","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This paper identifies the cryptocurrency market crashes and analyses its\ndynamics using the complex network. We identify three distinct crashes during\n2017-20, and the analysis is carried out by dividing the time series into\npre-crash, crash, and post-crash periods. Partial correlation based complex\nnetwork analysis is carried out to study the crashes. Degree density\n($\\rho_D$), average path length ($\\bar{l}$), and average clustering coefficient\n($\\overline{cc}$) are estimated from these networks. We find that both $\\rho_D$\nand $\\overline{cc}$ are smallest during the pre-crash period, and spike during\nthe crash suggesting the network is dense during a crash. Although $\\rho_D$ and\n$\\overline{cc}$ decrease in the post-crash period, they remain higher than\npre-crash levels for the 2017-18 and 2018-19 crashes suggesting a market\nattempt to return to normalcy. We get $\\bar{l}$ is minimal during the crash\nperiod, suggesting a rapid flow of information. A dense network and rapid\ninformation flow suggest that during a crash uninformed synchronized panic\nsell-off happens. However, during the 2019-20 crash, the values of $\\rho_D$,\n$\\overline{cc}$, and $\\bar{l}$ did not vary significantly, indicating minimal\nchange in dynamics compared to other crashes. The findings of this study may\nguide investors in making decisions during market crashes.","PeriodicalId":501139,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - QuantFin - Statistical Finance","volume":"128 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-05-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Complex network analysis of cryptocurrency market during crashes\",\"authors\":\"Kundan Mukhia, Anish Rai, SR Luwang, Md Nurujjaman, Sushovan Majhi, Chittaranjan Hens\",\"doi\":\"arxiv-2405.05642\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"This paper identifies the cryptocurrency market crashes and analyses its\\ndynamics using the complex network. We identify three distinct crashes during\\n2017-20, and the analysis is carried out by dividing the time series into\\npre-crash, crash, and post-crash periods. Partial correlation based complex\\nnetwork analysis is carried out to study the crashes. Degree density\\n($\\\\rho_D$), average path length ($\\\\bar{l}$), and average clustering coefficient\\n($\\\\overline{cc}$) are estimated from these networks. We find that both $\\\\rho_D$\\nand $\\\\overline{cc}$ are smallest during the pre-crash period, and spike during\\nthe crash suggesting the network is dense during a crash. Although $\\\\rho_D$ and\\n$\\\\overline{cc}$ decrease in the post-crash period, they remain higher than\\npre-crash levels for the 2017-18 and 2018-19 crashes suggesting a market\\nattempt to return to normalcy. We get $\\\\bar{l}$ is minimal during the crash\\nperiod, suggesting a rapid flow of information. A dense network and rapid\\ninformation flow suggest that during a crash uninformed synchronized panic\\nsell-off happens. However, during the 2019-20 crash, the values of $\\\\rho_D$,\\n$\\\\overline{cc}$, and $\\\\bar{l}$ did not vary significantly, indicating minimal\\nchange in dynamics compared to other crashes. The findings of this study may\\nguide investors in making decisions during market crashes.\",\"PeriodicalId\":501139,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"arXiv - QuantFin - Statistical Finance\",\"volume\":\"128 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-05-09\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"arXiv - QuantFin - Statistical Finance\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/arxiv-2405.05642\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"arXiv - QuantFin - Statistical Finance","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2405.05642","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Complex network analysis of cryptocurrency market during crashes
This paper identifies the cryptocurrency market crashes and analyses its
dynamics using the complex network. We identify three distinct crashes during
2017-20, and the analysis is carried out by dividing the time series into
pre-crash, crash, and post-crash periods. Partial correlation based complex
network analysis is carried out to study the crashes. Degree density
($\rho_D$), average path length ($\bar{l}$), and average clustering coefficient
($\overline{cc}$) are estimated from these networks. We find that both $\rho_D$
and $\overline{cc}$ are smallest during the pre-crash period, and spike during
the crash suggesting the network is dense during a crash. Although $\rho_D$ and
$\overline{cc}$ decrease in the post-crash period, they remain higher than
pre-crash levels for the 2017-18 and 2018-19 crashes suggesting a market
attempt to return to normalcy. We get $\bar{l}$ is minimal during the crash
period, suggesting a rapid flow of information. A dense network and rapid
information flow suggest that during a crash uninformed synchronized panic
sell-off happens. However, during the 2019-20 crash, the values of $\rho_D$,
$\overline{cc}$, and $\bar{l}$ did not vary significantly, indicating minimal
change in dynamics compared to other crashes. The findings of this study may
guide investors in making decisions during market crashes.