{"title":"随机移动的动态随机博弈","authors":"Ulrich Doraszelski, Kenneth L. Judd","doi":"10.1007/s11129-018-9200-x","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"We reformulate the quality ladder model of Pakes and McGuire, <i>Rand Journal of Economics</i>, <i>25</i>(4), 555–589 (1994) as a dynamic stochastic game with random moves in which each period one firm is picked at random to make an investment decision. Contrasting this model to the standard version with simultaneous moves illustrates the computational advantages of random moves. In particular, the quality ladder model with random moves avoids the curse of dimensionality in computing firms’ expectations over all possible future states and is therefore orders of magnitude faster to solve than its counterpart with simultaneous moves when there are more than just a few firms. Perhaps unexpectedly, the equilibria of the quality ladder model with random moves are practically indistinguishable from those of the model with simultaneous moves.","PeriodicalId":501397,"journal":{"name":"Quantitative Marketing and Economics","volume":"114 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2018-07-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Dynamic stochastic games with random moves\",\"authors\":\"Ulrich Doraszelski, Kenneth L. Judd\",\"doi\":\"10.1007/s11129-018-9200-x\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"We reformulate the quality ladder model of Pakes and McGuire, <i>Rand Journal of Economics</i>, <i>25</i>(4), 555–589 (1994) as a dynamic stochastic game with random moves in which each period one firm is picked at random to make an investment decision. Contrasting this model to the standard version with simultaneous moves illustrates the computational advantages of random moves. In particular, the quality ladder model with random moves avoids the curse of dimensionality in computing firms’ expectations over all possible future states and is therefore orders of magnitude faster to solve than its counterpart with simultaneous moves when there are more than just a few firms. Perhaps unexpectedly, the equilibria of the quality ladder model with random moves are practically indistinguishable from those of the model with simultaneous moves.\",\"PeriodicalId\":501397,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Quantitative Marketing and Economics\",\"volume\":\"114 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2018-07-04\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Quantitative Marketing and Economics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11129-018-9200-x\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Quantitative Marketing and Economics","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11129-018-9200-x","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
我们将 Pakes 和 McGuire 的质量阶梯模型(Rand Journal of Economics,25(4), 555-589 (1994))重新表述为具有随机移动的动态随机博弈,其中每期随机挑选一家公司做出投资决策。将这一模型与同时移动的标准模型进行对比,可以看出随机移动在计算上的优势。特别是,在计算企业对所有可能的未来状态的预期时,随机移动的质量阶梯模型避免了维度诅咒,因此,当企业数量超过几家时,其求解速度要比同时移动的模型快很多。也许出乎意料的是,随机移动质量阶梯模型的均衡点与同时移动模型的均衡点几乎没有区别。
We reformulate the quality ladder model of Pakes and McGuire, Rand Journal of Economics, 25(4), 555–589 (1994) as a dynamic stochastic game with random moves in which each period one firm is picked at random to make an investment decision. Contrasting this model to the standard version with simultaneous moves illustrates the computational advantages of random moves. In particular, the quality ladder model with random moves avoids the curse of dimensionality in computing firms’ expectations over all possible future states and is therefore orders of magnitude faster to solve than its counterpart with simultaneous moves when there are more than just a few firms. Perhaps unexpectedly, the equilibria of the quality ladder model with random moves are practically indistinguishable from those of the model with simultaneous moves.