时变参数四方程 DSGE 模型

Rangan Gupta, Xiaojin Sun
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摘要

Sims, E., J. C. Wu, and J. Zhang.2023."四方程新凯恩斯主义模型"。The Review of Economics and Statistics 105 (4):931-47) 的四方程动态随机一般均衡(DSGE)模型。我们发现,四方程 DSGE 模型中变量的参数和脉冲响应都会随时间发生显著变化。允许模型参数随时间变化还能提高模型的预测性能。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Time-Varying Parameter Four-Equation DSGE Model
We build the time-varying parameter feature into the (Sims, E., J. C. Wu, and J. Zhang. 2023. “The Four-Equation New Keynesian Model.” The Review of Economics and Statistics 105 (4): 931–47) four-equation Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model in this paper. We find that both parameters and impulse responses of the variables in the four-equation DSGE model exhibit significant variation over time. Allowing model parameters to vary over time also improves the model’s forecasting performance.
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