Transcriptome analysis revealed SMURF2 as a prognostic biomarker for oral cancer.

Background: The activation of TGF-β pathway can facilitate tumorigenesis. Understanding the TGF-related genes (TRGs) in oral cancer and determining their prognostic value is of utmost importance.

Methods: The TRGs were selected to develop a prognostic model based on lasso regression. Oral cancer patients were classified into high-risk and low-risk groups based on the risk model. Subsequently, multivariate COX regression was employed to identify the prognostic marker. Additionally, the expression of SMURF2 was validated using quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) and the Human Protein Atlas (HPA) database. To investigate the relationship between SMURF2 expression and immune cell infiltrations, we conducted single-sample Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (ssGSEA) analyses.

Results: We identified 16 differentially expressed TRGs in oral cancer, all of which showed upregulation. From these, we selected eight TRGs as prognostic signatures. Furthermore, the high-risk group demonstrated lower infiltration levels of immune cells, immune score, and higher tumor purity. Interestingly, we also found that SMURF2 serves as an independent prognostic biomarker. SMURF2 was upregulated in oral cancer, as confirmed by public databases and qRT-PCR analysis. Importantly, our results indicate a close association between SMURF2 expression and the immune microenvironment.

Conclusion: The 8-TRG signature prognosis model that we constructed has the ability to predict the survival rate and immune activity of oral cancer patients. SMURF2 could be effective in recognizing prognosis and evaluating immune efficacy for oral cancer.