适应城市化的发展:新城镇是好的解决方案吗?

Gabriel Loumeau
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文研究了新城镇(即规划中的大型城市副中心)的绩效,将其作为适应全球城市化发展的核心工具。本文提出了一个适用于研究大规模城市总体规划的空间量化一般均衡框架。该框架随后被用于研究 20 世纪 70 年代在巴黎大都市区开发的五个新城的均衡效应。到 2015 年,新城的发展似乎增加了大都市人口(+18%)、大都市 GDP(+11%),并缩短了平均通勤时间(-6.9%)。巴黎大都市区的研究结果通过差分法对 1992 年至 2012 年间全球开发的 314 个新城进行了外部验证。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Accommodating the Rise in Urbanisation: Are New Towns a Good Solution?
This paper studies the performance of New Towns, i.e., planned large urban subcenters, as a central tool to accommodate the global rise in urbanisation. A spatial quantifiable general equilibrium framework suitable to study large-scale urban master plans is presented. The framework is then used to investigate the equilibrium effects of five New Towns developed in the 1970s in Paris’ metropolitan area. By 2015, the development of New Towns appears to have increased metropolitan population (+18%), metropolitan GDP (+11%), and reduced average commuting times (-6.9%). The results obtained for Paris’ metropolitan area are externally validated using a Difference-in-Differences approach on all 314 New Towns developed worldwide between 1992 and 2012.
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