定时炸弹与伊朗核安全的时间动态

IF 2.5 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
Ryan K. Beasley, Ameneh Mehvar
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引用次数: 0

摘要

二十多年来,伊朗的核计划一直牵动着决策者和学者的心。无论是加速铀浓缩、放缓国际谈判,还是打乱关键倡议的时间安排,围绕伊朗核计划的行动都带有明显的时间特征。然而,关于时间对外交和安全政策制定的重要性的系统论述却在很大程度上被忽视了。通过外交政策时间理论(FP4D)对时间的重新认识,我们展示了行动者是如何构建并利用时间来追求其战略利益,创造、改变和破坏将伊朗核技术与国际制裁联系在一起的时间机制的。国内和国际行动者对时间的这些操纵导致了旷日持久的国际谈判和起伏不定的危机时期,并产生了一个在时间上有缺陷的冻结协议。我们将探讨时间对伊朗核外交当前挑战和未来方向的影响,以及时间对更广泛的核安全问题的重要性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Timing bombs and the temporal dynamics of Iranian nuclear security

For more than two decades, Iran’s nuclear programme has concerned policymakers and scholars alike. Whether speeding up uranium enrichment, slowing down international negotiations, or disrupting the timing of key initiatives, actions around Iran’s nuclear programme bear a clear time signature. Yet systematic accounts of the importance of time in shaping foreign and security policymaking have been largely neglected. Through foreign policy timing theory’s (FP4D) reconceptualisation of time we show how actors both constructed and then used time to pursue their strategic interests, creating, altering, and sabotaging the timing mechanism linking Iranian nuclear technology and international sanctions. These manipulations of time by both domestic and international actors resulted in prolonged international negotiations and fluctuating periods of crisis and produced a temporally flawed agreement frozen in time. We consider time’s impact on the current challenges and future direction of nuclear diplomacy with Iran as well as its importance for broader nuclear security issues.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
13.60%
发文量
30
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