市场波动对东盟国家国际收支的影响

Nova Riza Ayu Andini
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在确定 2013 年至 2022 年期间东盟成员国以股票指数为代表的股票市场和以汇率为代表的金融市场的波动性对以直接投资(FDI)为代表的国际收支的影响。国际收支是一个国家与另一个国家在一定时期内经济交易的系统记录,因此国际收支会受到各种因素的影响,市场就是其中之一。这项研究之所以重要,是因为以往的研究结果并不一致,而且随着时间的推移,会出现许多影响一国国际收支的经济现象。本研究的新颖之处在于它特别关注市场动荡对东盟国家国际收支的影响。本研究采用量化方法,使用二手数据。本研究使用了面板数据分析技术和固定效应模型(FEM)方法。研究结果表明,部分股票指数对国际收支有显著的正向影响,汇率对国际收支有显著的负向影响。这项研究可为企业决策者、政府和国际机构提供重要的见解,帮助他们了解东盟经济的快速发展并做出应对。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Market volatility on the balance of payments in ASEAN countries
This research aims to determine the effect of volatility on the stock market proxied by stock indices and financial markets proxied by exchange rates on the balance of payments proxied by direct investment (FDI) in ASEAN member countries for the period 2013 to 2022. The balance of payments is a systematic record of economic transactions involving one country with another country in a certain period of time, therefore the balance of payments can be influenced by various components, one of which is the market. This research is important because the results of previous research are inconsistent and over time many economic phenomena occur that will affect a country's balance of payments. The novelty of this study lies in its particular focus on the effect of market turmoil on the balance of payments in ASEAN countries. This study used quantitative methods using secondary data. This research uses panel data analysis techniques with a Fixed Effect Model (FEM) approach. The results of this study show that partially the stock index has a significant positive effect and the exchange rate has a significant negative effect on the balance of payments. This research can provide important insights for business decision makers, governments, and international institutions to understand and respond to rapid economic developments in ASEAN.
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