全球各地的矛盾心理:调查 52 个多党制国家的政治矛盾及其对选票转换的影响

Klara Dentler
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在全球许多国家,选票转换者的数量相当高。对这一现象研究不足的一个方面是矛盾政治态度的影响。矛盾态度是指一个人同时对多个政党或多个政治领导人持积极态度。虽然在美国政治体制中已经对政党和领导人的矛盾态度对选票转换的影响进行了研究,但将其应用于多党制的情况还很少见。本文旨在填补这一空白。不过,在此之前,文章将重点关注政党和领导人矛盾态度的发展,以及多党制中影响矛盾态度的制度特征。为此,文章使用了《选举制度比较研究》(Comparative Study of Electoral Systems)的数据,涵盖了 1996 年至 2020 年间 52 个多党制国家的 195 次选举。研究结果表明,矛盾态度会增加选民在两次选举之间转换政党的概率。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Ambivalence across the globe: Investigating political ambivalence and its impact on vote switching in 52 multi-party systems
In many countries across the globe, the number of vote switchers is quite high. An under-researched dimension of this phenomenon is the impact of ambivalent political attitudes. Ambivalence describes the situation in which a person simultaneously has positive attitudes toward more than one political party or more than one political leader. Whilst the effects of party and leader ambivalence on vote switching have been investigated in the American political system, their application to multi-party systems is rare. This article aims to fill this gap. Before doing so, however, the article focuses on the development of party and leader ambivalent attitudes and system features of multi-party systems influencing ambivalence. For this research purpose, the article uses data from the Comparative Study of Electoral Systems covering 195 elections in 52 multi-party systems between 1996 and 2020. The results, among others, demonstrate that ambivalence increases voters’ probability to switch parties between elections.
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