Era5 再分析与风能应用的相关性:与 Sodar 观测数据的比较

Q2 Agricultural and Biological Sciences
Anna A. Shestakova, Ekaterina V. Fedotova, Vasily S. Lyulyukin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

ERA5再分析是风能建模最可靠的气候数据源之一。不过,在进一步使用之前,任何再分析数据都应通过与观测数据的比较进行验证,以发现偏差。对于接近典型风力涡轮机轮毂高度(即约 100 米)的风力验证,最好使用气象塔的现场测量数据或声学和激光垂直剖面仪等遥感数据,这些数据与再分析无关。在这项研究中,我们利用位于俄罗斯欧洲不同气候和自然植被区的四个声学剖面仪(sodars)的数据,验证了ERA5在100米高度的风速数据。评估结果显示,大多数站点都存在系统误差;总体而言,ERA5 往往会高估森林上空的风速,而低估草原和沙漠上空的风速。正如预期的那样,最大的误差出现在山地海岸的一个站点,那里的相对风速误差达到了 45%。我们进行了偏差校正,减少了绝对误差,消除了误差对日线的依赖,这对风能建模至关重要。如果不进行偏差校正,风力发电能力系数的误差在 30% 到 50% 之间。因此,强烈建议在能源计算中应用ERA5的校正,至少在所考虑的地区是这样。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Relevance Of Era5 Reanalysis For Wind Energy Applications: Comparison With Sodar Observations
ERA5 reanalysis is one of the most trusted climate data sources for wind energy modeling. However, any reanalysis should be verified through comparison with observational data to detect biases before further use. For wind verification at heights close to typical wind turbine hub heights (i.e. about 100 m), it is preferable to use either in-situ measurements from meteorological towers or remote sensing data like acoustic and laser vertical profilers, which remain independent of reanalysis. In this study, we validated the wind speed data from ERA5 at a height of 100 m using data from four sodars (acoustic profilers) located in different climatic and natural vegetation zones across European Russia. The assessments revealed a systematic error at most stations; in general, ERA5 tends to overestimate wind speed over forests and underestimate it over grasslands and deserts. As anticipated, the largest errors were observed at a station on the mountain coast, where the relative wind speed error reached 45%. We performed the bias correction which reduced absolute errors and eliminated the error dependence on the  daily course, which was crucial for wind energy modeling. Without bias correction, the error in the wind power capacity factor ranged from 30 to 50%. Hence, it is strongly recommended to apply correction of ERA5 for energy calculations, at least in the areas under consideration.. 
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来源期刊
Geography, Environment, Sustainability
Geography, Environment, Sustainability Social Sciences-Geography, Planning and Development
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
37
审稿时长
12 weeks
期刊介绍: Journal “GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY” is founded by the Faculty of Geography of Lomonosov Moscow State University, The Russian Geographical Society and by the Institute of Geography of RAS. It is the official journal of Russian Geographical Society, and a fully open access journal. Journal “GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY” publishes original, innovative, interdisciplinary and timely research letter articles and concise reviews on studies of the Earth and its environment scientific field. This goal covers a broad spectrum of scientific research areas (physical-, social-, economic-, cultural geography, environmental sciences and sustainable development) and also considers contemporary and widely used research methods, such as geoinformatics, cartography, remote sensing (including from space), geophysics, geochemistry, etc. “GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY” is the only original English-language journal in the field of geography and environmental sciences published in Russia. It is supposed to be an outlet from the Russian-speaking countries to Europe and an inlet from Europe to the Russian-speaking countries regarding environmental and Earth sciences, geography and sustainability. The main sections of the journal are the theory of geography and ecology, the theory of sustainable development, use of natural resources, natural resources assessment, global and regional changes of environment and climate, social-economical geography, ecological regional planning, sustainable regional development, applied aspects of geography and ecology, geoinformatics and ecological cartography, ecological problems of oil and gas sector, nature conservations, health and environment, and education for sustainable development. Articles are freely available to both subscribers and the wider public with permitted reuse.
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