减轻房地产测量师的偏见：对空置率和房地产价格的应用

IF 2 4区管理学 Q3 MANAGEMENT

International Journal of Strategic Property Management Pub Date : 2024-04-04 DOI:10.3846/ijspm.2024.21214

Changro Lee

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引用次数: 0

摘要

尽管房地产市场的空置率一直是私人和公共利益相关者关注的焦点，但衡量空置率对房地产价格的影响却具有挑战性。本研究试图量化空置率对商业地产价格下跌的影响程度。本研究使用的数据集由估价专家收集和整理。我们试图减轻调查人员提供的价格估算中固有的偏差。我们采用了贝叶斯多层次估算模型，结果表明，虽然一些专家没有表现出偏离同行群体标准趋势的情况，但另一些专家确实偏离了这一标准。根据这些发现，得出了一个偏差控制价格下降率。由于许多房地产统计数据都是根据专家汇编的调查数据编制的，因此本研究采用的方法有望应用于各种房地产实践，以减少调查员固有的、不可避免的偏差。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

查看原文本刊更多论文

ALLEVIATING SURVEYOR BIAS IN REAL ESTATE: AN APPLICATION TO VACANCY AND PROPERTY PRICES

Although vacancies in the real estate market have always been of key interest to both private and public stakeholders, measuring the impact of vacancy rates on property prices is challenging. This study attempts to quantify the extent of the influence of vacancy rates on the price decline of commercial properties. The dataset used in this study was collected and collated by valuation experts. We attempt to alleviate the bias inherent in the price estimates provided by the surveyors. A Bayesian multilevel estimation model was employed, and the results revealed that while some experts do not show deviations from the standard tendency of a peer group, others do diverge from this norm. Based on these findings, a bias-controlling price decline rate was derived. As many real estate statistics are produced based on survey data compiled by experts, the approach adopted in this study is expected to be applied to various real estate practices to mitigate the inherent and inevitable surveyor bias.

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来源期刊

International Journal of Strategic Property Management MANAGEMENT-

CiteScore

4.00

自引率

18.50%

发文量

审稿时长

15 weeks

期刊介绍： International Journal of Strategic Property Management is a peer-reviewed, interdisciplinary journal which publishes original research papers. The journal provides a forum for discussion and debate relating to all areas of strategic property management. Topics include, but are not limited to, the following: asset management, facilities management, property policy, budgeting and financial controls, enhancing residential property value, marketing and leasing, risk management, real estate valuation and investment, innovations in residential management, housing finance, sustainability and housing development, applications, etc.