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引用次数: 0
摘要
在本文中,我们提出了一个模型(使用简单的 SIR 模型),用于分析 COVID-19 大流行病在随后的封锁之后在印度的传播和控制情况,其中考虑到了部分措施的方法,事实上,这可能是采取完全措施或不采取措施这两种方法之间的中间方法。我们假设的部分措施(限制某些年龄组的行动)可能是在不妨碍经济活动的情况下控制冠状病毒传播的有效方案。分析表明,如果采取部分措施,2021 年 1 月以后的感染人数将会减少。总之,与其他研究相比,我们发现了一些令人鼓舞的重要结果,以改善我国的经济,控制当前的流行病。
Mathematical Study based on SIR Model to Combat with COVID-19 in India using Partial Measures: A Mid-way Approach
In this article, we propose a model (using a simple SIR model) for the analysis of the spread and control of COVID-19 pandemic in India after the subsequent lockdown(s) by taking into account the approach of partial measures, which, in fact, could be a mid-way approach between the two approaches of taking complete measures or no measures. Our supposition of partial measures (which put restrictions on the movements of some age groups) could be an effective protocol in controlling the spread of the coronavirus without hampering economic activities. The analysis has shown that there will be less number of infections after January 2021 by adopting partial measures. Overall, from the study, we have found some encouraging and significant results compared to the others in order to improve the economy of our country keeping the current pandemic in control.