公众对卫生警戒线的支持:西班牙的描述性证据

S. Turnbull-Dugarte
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摘要

极右翼政党的崛起主张民主倒退,并淡化社会自由民主准则,这给现有政党带来了困境。现有政党应如何应对这一挑战?一种普遍采用的策略是实行 "警戒线",将激进右翼挑战者排除在政府组建过程之外。选民支持这一政策吗?在西班牙,主流右翼通过多次执政联盟接纳了激进右翼政党 VOX,我利用西班牙的数据,依靠公民个人对政党应如何应对极右翼政党崛起的看法来回答这个问题。实证结果表明,在西班牙,对 "警戒线 "的支持率非常低。事实上,无论选民的意识形态立场如何,他们的基本立场都是像对待其他政党一样对待极右翼政党。这些结果并不取决于个人将 VOX 党认定为 "激进右翼 "政党的倾向。这些描述性研究结果表明,虽然激进右翼政党可能对民主规范构成严重威胁,但公民并不一定认为消除这种威胁的手段就是战略排斥。这很可能解释了为什么主流右翼能够将 VOX 作为一个政治盟友加以制度化:在战略排斥不被预期的情况下,主流右翼不必担心违背一种并不存在的预期。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Public support for the cordon sanitaire: Descriptive evidence from Spain
Reactions to the rise of far-right parties that advocate democratic backsliding, and the dilution of socially liberal democratic norms present a dilemma for existing political parties. How should existing political parties respond to this challenge? A commonly adopted strategy is to apply a cordon sanitaire which excludes radical right-wing challengers from the government-forming process. Do voters support this policy? Leveraging data from Spain – where the mainstream right has accommodated the radical right-wing party, VOX, via numerous governing coalitions – I rely on individual citizens’ views on how parties should respond to rise of the far-right party, to answer this question. Empirically, the results show very low-level support for the cordon sanitaire in Spain. Indeed, the modal position of the electorate, regardless of their ideological position, is to treat the party just like any other. These results are not conditioned by the propensity of individuals to identify VOX as indeed being a “radical right” party. These descriptive findings suggest that whilst radical right-wing parties may present an inimical threat to democratic norms, citizens do not necessarily view the means of squashing this threat to be one of strategic exclusion. This likely explains why the mainstream right has been able to institutionalise VOX as a political ally: where strategic exclusion is not expected, the mainstream right need not fear violating an expectation that does not exist.
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