马尔代夫的地缘政治:对外关系与国内政治竞争的交汇点

Ibrahim Nahushal
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摘要

本文将有关小国的政治学文献与印度洋贸易的历史报道联系起来,以确定马尔代夫地缘政治在对外关系管理方面的显著模式。至少自十五世纪以来,马尔代夫与外国势力长期互动的历史表明,无论在历史上还是现在,这个小国在面对印度、中国和中东时,都能很好地保持作为一个独立国家的控制权和主权。马尔代夫在应对更广泛地区相互竞争的地缘政治利益所带来的挑战方面有着丰富的经验,这在一定程度上解释了马尔代夫的成功故事。然而,本文也揭示了马尔代夫精英内部持续不断的政治竞争所起的作用。由此产生的高度动态的交叉模式确定了不同的政党、派系和某些强势人物作为相互竞争的利益相关者是如何不断试图通过与外国势力结成战略联盟来保留或攫取权力的。通过识别这一基本模式,可以更深入地分析马尔代夫地缘政治和类似小国情况的独特性和流动性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Geopolitics in the Maldives: Intersection of Foreign Relations and Internal Political Rivalries
This article connects the political science literature on small states and the historical coverage of trade in the Indian Ocean to identify a remarkable pattern in foreign relations management of Maldivian geopolitics. The long history of interaction with foreign powers since at least the fifteenth century shows how this small state has, historically as well as now vis-à-vis India, China and the Middle East, managed well to retain control and sovereignty as an independent nation. Rich experience in handling the challenges posed by competing geopolitical interests in the wider region partly explains this Maldivian success story. However, this article also brings out the role of constant internal political rivalry within the Maldivian elites. The resulting highly dynamic intersecting pattern identifies how different parties, fractions and certain strong personalities as competing stakeholders constantly attempt to retain or grab power through strategic alliances with foreign powers. Identifying this underlying pattern allows deeper analysis of the unique, literally liquid characteristics of Maldivian geopolitics and similar small-state scenarios.
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