天然气消费与经济增长:部分非洲国家的经验证据

Alwell Nteegah, David Theophilus Briggs
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摘要

本研究调查了 1990-2021 年间工业部门、住宅/家庭和运输部门的天然气消费对非洲部分国家(阿尔及利亚、埃及、赤道几内亚、加纳、尼日利亚和突尼斯)经济增长的影响。为了实现这一目标,我们从世界银行发展指标和国际能源机构(IEA)获取了选定国家的国内生产总值(RGDP)增长率、天然气总消费量、工业天然气消费量、居民天然气消费量和运输部门天然气消费量等数据,并使用面板自回归分布滞后法(ARDL)进行了分析。分析结果表明从长期来看,天然气消费总量对经济增长有显著的负向影响,但从短期来看,对选定国家的经济增长有显著的正向影响。工业天然气消费对选定国家的经济增长在短期和长期都有积极而显著的影响。民用天然气消费对经济增长的长期影响为正且显著,但对经济增长的短期影响为负且不显著。在研究期间,运输部门消耗的天然气对选定国家的经济增长有积极影响,但不显著。在研究的所有国家中,天然气消费对经济增长的影响不尽相同。天然气消费与经济增长之间存在长期关系。基于这些研究结果,研究建议被调查的非洲国家政府应通过建设天然气基础设施和投资石油天然气行业,鼓励工业、交通和家庭的天然气消费,以刺激次区域的经济发展。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Natural Gas Consumption and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Selected African Countries
This study investigated the impact of natural gas consumption by the industrial sector, residential/households and transport sector on economic growth of selected countries in Africa (Algeria, Egypt, Equatorial Guinea, Ghana, Nigeria and Tunisia) over the period 1990 – 2021. In order to achieve this objective, data on growth rate of gross domestic product (RGDP), total natural gas consumption, industrial gas consumption, residential gas consumption and natural gas consumed by the transport sector of the selected countries were sourced from the World Bank Development Indicators and International Energy Agency (IEA) and analyzed using panel Autoregressive Distributed lagged (ARDL) method. The results of our analysis show that: Total natural gas consumed has negative and significant impact on economic growth in the long run but positive and significant effect on economic growth of the selected countries in the short run. Industrial gas consumption has positive and significant impact on economic growth of the selected countries both in the short and long run. Residential gas consumption has positive and significant impact on economic growth in the long run but negative and insignificant effect on economic growth in the short run. Natural gas consumed by the transport sector has positive but insignificant effect on economic growth of the selected countries over the period under study. The impact of natural gas consumption on economic growth for all the countries under study does not vary. That a long run relationship exists between natural gas consumption and economic growth among the countries been investigated. Based on these findings, the study recommended that governments of African countries under investigation should encourage natural gas consumption in the industrial, transport and households by building gas infrastructure and investment in the oil and gas sector in order to stimulate economic in the sub region.
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