具有短利率风险的均衡资产定价

IF 1.4 Q3 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS
Alessandro Sbuelz
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我研究了在一个具有波动性预期增长率的可操作长期风险均衡模型中,长期资产对短期利率变化的确切百分比价格反应(绝对值)。校准结果表明,在时间加成的预期效用条件下,由于短期利率与预期股息增长率之间存在轻微的正相关性,票息不变的永续资产的有效存续期大于股票价格对数导数的绝对值。相反,在具有单位跨期替代弹性的爱泼斯坦-津偏好下,由于短期利率与预期股息增长之间存在明显的正相关性,永续期的有效持续时间较小。我的研究结果表明,基本面的强持久性导致了长期资产均衡对数价格的非线性。(JEL分类代码:G12)。关键词:均衡短期利率、长期风险、有效存续期、股票定价、永续/康索尔定价。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Equilibrium asset pricing with short rate risk

Equilibrium asset pricing with short rate risk

I study the exact percentage price reaction (in absolute value) to changes in the short rate for long-lived assets in a tractable long-run risk equilibrium model with fluctuating expected growth rates. Calibration reveals that, under time-additive expected utility, perpetuities with constant coupons exhibit a larger effective duration than the absolute value of the stock price logarithmic derivative due to a mild positive comovement between short rates and expected dividend growth. Conversely, under Epstein-Zin preferences with unit elasticity of intertemporal substitution, the perpetuity’s effective duration is smaller due to a pronounced positive comovement between short rates and expected dividend growth. My findings suggest that strong persistence in fundamentals contributes to non-linearities in the equilibrium log prices of long-lived assets. (JEL Classification Code: G12). Keywords: equilibrium short rate, long-run risk, effective duration, stock pricing, perpetuity/consol pricing.

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来源期刊
Decisions in Economics and Finance
Decisions in Economics and Finance SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS-
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
9.10%
发文量
10
期刊介绍: Decisions in Economics and Finance: A Journal of Applied Mathematics is the official publication of the Association for Mathematics Applied to Social and Economic Sciences (AMASES). It provides a specialised forum for the publication of research in all areas of mathematics as applied to economics, finance, insurance, management and social sciences. Primary emphasis is placed on original research concerning topics in mathematics or computational techniques which are explicitly motivated by or contribute to the analysis of economic or financial problems.
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