基于行业信息的自动定量选股和市场时机选择投资模型

IF 5 3区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
Minshi Liu , Weipeng Sun , Jiafeng Chen , Menglin Ren
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引用次数: 0

摘要

作为一种成长性资产,许多上市公司都具有鲜明的行业特征。同行业的上市公司具有联动效应,可以为股票操作提供丰富的信息。本文在统计模型的基础上,开发了一套完整的自动化量化投资模型,利用行业信息进行选股和择时,从而发挥系统的协同效应,确保投资收益最大化。我们的模型考虑到了风险控制,通过衡量股票价格的波动性设计了风险控制因子,以确定买入量和止损时机,有效保障资金安全。行业分类以中国证监会公布的最新行业分类结果为依据。经过数据预处理后,共有 18 个行业大类 70 个小类。我们以这 70 个小类从 2012 年 1 月 1 日到 2022 年 1 月 1 日的股价作为研究数据。回溯测试结果表明,在我们的模型中,除 6 个行业外,其他行业都获得了正收益。平均年化收益率为 11.10%,高于同期股指,也远高于银行储蓄投资模型。此外,根据真实的交易系统,实验模拟了将所有交易费用纳入交易过程的情况,证明了我们的专家系统的实际应用价值。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An automated quantitative investment model of stock selection and market timing based on industry information

As a growth asset, many listed companies have distinct characteristics of their respective industries. The listed companies in the same industry have a link effect, which can provide a wealth of information for stock operations. In this paper, a complete automated quantitative investment model is developed based on statistical models that use industry information to select stocks and time the market, thereby bringing out the synergistic effect of the system and ensuring maximum returns on investment. Risk control is taken into consideration in our model, a risk control factor is designed by measuring volatility of stock prices to determine the buying volume and the timing of stop loss, effectively safeguarding capital security. The latest industry classification results published by the China Securities Regulatory Commission are used as the basis for the industry classification. After data preprocessing, there are 70 sub-categories in 18 major categories of industry. We take the stock price of the 70 sub-categories from January 1, 2012 to January 1, 2022 as our research data. The back testing results show that positive returns are obtained in all industries except for six in our model. The average annualized rate of return is 11.10 %, which is higher than the stock indexes of the same period and far higher than the investment model of bank savings. Additionally, in accordance with a real trading system, the experiment simulates the inclusion of all transaction fees in the trading process, demonstrating the practical application value of our expert system.

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来源期刊
Egyptian Informatics Journal
Egyptian Informatics Journal Decision Sciences-Management Science and Operations Research
CiteScore
11.10
自引率
1.90%
发文量
59
审稿时长
110 days
期刊介绍: The Egyptian Informatics Journal is published by the Faculty of Computers and Artificial Intelligence, Cairo University. This Journal provides a forum for the state-of-the-art research and development in the fields of computing, including computer sciences, information technologies, information systems, operations research and decision support. Innovative and not-previously-published work in subjects covered by the Journal is encouraged to be submitted, whether from academic, research or commercial sources.
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