{"title":"如果我们 \"烧光所有的碳 \"会发生什么? 碳储备、碳预算和政府的政策选择†。","authors":"Kevin M. A. Parker and Michael R. Mainelli","doi":"10.1039/D3EA00107E","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p >Our estimates show that ‘proven reserves’ of fossil fuels in 2022, would generate an estimated 4777 Gt of CO<small><sub>2</sub></small> after allowing for non-fuel uses. This quantity already could ‘bust CO<small><sub>2</sub></small> budgets’ for IPCC RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP6.0 and is approaching the range for RCP8.5. Notwithstanding these results, fossil fuel companies are still exploring and bringing new reserves onstream. We discuss the reasons behind this, and propose some policy options for governments as they address this situation.</p>","PeriodicalId":72942,"journal":{"name":"Environmental science: atmospheres","volume":" 4","pages":" 435-454"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8000,"publicationDate":"2024-01-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://pubs.rsc.org/en/content/articlepdf/2024/ea/d3ea00107e?page=search","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"What happens if we ‘burn all the carbon’? carbon reserves, carbon budgets, and policy options for governments†\",\"authors\":\"Kevin M. A. Parker and Michael R. Mainelli\",\"doi\":\"10.1039/D3EA00107E\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p >Our estimates show that ‘proven reserves’ of fossil fuels in 2022, would generate an estimated 4777 Gt of CO<small><sub>2</sub></small> after allowing for non-fuel uses. This quantity already could ‘bust CO<small><sub>2</sub></small> budgets’ for IPCC RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP6.0 and is approaching the range for RCP8.5. Notwithstanding these results, fossil fuel companies are still exploring and bringing new reserves onstream. We discuss the reasons behind this, and propose some policy options for governments as they address this situation.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":72942,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Environmental science: atmospheres\",\"volume\":\" 4\",\"pages\":\" 435-454\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-01-24\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://pubs.rsc.org/en/content/articlepdf/2024/ea/d3ea00107e?page=search\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Environmental science: atmospheres\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://pubs.rsc.org/en/content/articlelanding/2024/ea/d3ea00107e\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Environmental science: atmospheres","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://pubs.rsc.org/en/content/articlelanding/2024/ea/d3ea00107e","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
What happens if we ‘burn all the carbon’? carbon reserves, carbon budgets, and policy options for governments†
Our estimates show that ‘proven reserves’ of fossil fuels in 2022, would generate an estimated 4777 Gt of CO2 after allowing for non-fuel uses. This quantity already could ‘bust CO2 budgets’ for IPCC RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP6.0 and is approaching the range for RCP8.5. Notwithstanding these results, fossil fuel companies are still exploring and bringing new reserves onstream. We discuss the reasons behind this, and propose some policy options for governments as they address this situation.