{"title":"第一价格拍卖中卖方预期收益的估计和推论","authors":"Federico Zincenko","doi":"10.1016/j.jeconom.2024.105734","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>I propose an estimator for the seller’s expected revenue function in a first-price sealed-bid auction with independent private values and symmetric bidders, who can exhibit constant relative risk aversion and bid according to the Bayesian Nash equilibrium. I build the proposed estimator from pseudo-private values, which can be estimated from observed bids, and show that it is pointwise and uniformly consistent: the corresponding optimal nonparametric rates of convergence can be achieved. Then I construct asymptotically valid confidence intervals and uniform confidence bands. Suggestions for critical values are based on first-order asymptotics, as well as on the bootstrap method.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":15629,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Econometrics","volume":"241 1","pages":"Article 105734"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9000,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Estimation and inference of seller’s expected revenue in first-price auctions\",\"authors\":\"Federico Zincenko\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.jeconom.2024.105734\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>I propose an estimator for the seller’s expected revenue function in a first-price sealed-bid auction with independent private values and symmetric bidders, who can exhibit constant relative risk aversion and bid according to the Bayesian Nash equilibrium. I build the proposed estimator from pseudo-private values, which can be estimated from observed bids, and show that it is pointwise and uniformly consistent: the corresponding optimal nonparametric rates of convergence can be achieved. Then I construct asymptotically valid confidence intervals and uniform confidence bands. Suggestions for critical values are based on first-order asymptotics, as well as on the bootstrap method.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":15629,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Econometrics\",\"volume\":\"241 1\",\"pages\":\"Article 105734\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":9.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-04-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Econometrics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304407624000800\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Econometrics","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304407624000800","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Estimation and inference of seller’s expected revenue in first-price auctions
I propose an estimator for the seller’s expected revenue function in a first-price sealed-bid auction with independent private values and symmetric bidders, who can exhibit constant relative risk aversion and bid according to the Bayesian Nash equilibrium. I build the proposed estimator from pseudo-private values, which can be estimated from observed bids, and show that it is pointwise and uniformly consistent: the corresponding optimal nonparametric rates of convergence can be achieved. Then I construct asymptotically valid confidence intervals and uniform confidence bands. Suggestions for critical values are based on first-order asymptotics, as well as on the bootstrap method.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Econometrics serves as an outlet for important, high quality, new research in both theoretical and applied econometrics. The scope of the Journal includes papers dealing with identification, estimation, testing, decision, and prediction issues encountered in economic research. Classical Bayesian statistics, and machine learning methods, are decidedly within the range of the Journal''s interests. The Annals of Econometrics is a supplement to the Journal of Econometrics.