易受影响的选民在选举中的注意力

IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS
Costel Andonie, Daniel Diermeier
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们提出了一个选举中的殷勤度模型,该模型有三种选举规则:多数票、赞成票和负多数票。选民的行为由其注意力和对候选人的印象决定。我们的研究表明,关注度与选民对选举结果的偏好同样重要。具体而言,我们表明,在负多数票以外的所有规则下,候选人都能从选民关注度的提高中获益。然后,我们考虑了外生和内生关注度,并展示了我们的模型如何解释初选中的动量效应,即候选人迅速崛起然后逐渐消失。最后,我们考虑了新闻报道基调的情况,并说明在复数规则下(如初选),即使新闻是负面的,候选人也可能从频繁的新闻报道中获益。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Attentiveness in elections with impressionable voters

We propose a model of attentiveness in elections with impressionable voters under three electoral rules: plurality, approval voting, and negative plurality. Voters’ conduct is determined by their attentiveness and impressions of candidates. We show that attentiveness is as important as voters’ preferences for the outcome of the election. Specifically, we show that candidates benefit from increased voter attention under all rules other than negative plurality. We then consider exogenous and endogenous attentiveness and show how our model can account for momentum effects in primaries, where candidates rise quickly and then fade away. Finally we consider the case of news coverage tone and show that under plurality rule e.g., primary elections, candidates may benefit from frequent news coverage even if the news is negative.

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来源期刊
Public Choice
Public Choice Multiple-
CiteScore
3.60
自引率
18.80%
发文量
65
期刊介绍: Public Choice deals with the intersection between economics and political science. The journal was founded at a time when economists and political scientists became interested in the application of essentially economic methods to problems normally dealt with by political scientists. It has always retained strong traces of economic methodology, but new and fruitful techniques have been developed which are not recognizable by economists. Public Choice therefore remains central in its chosen role of introducing the two groups to each other, and allowing them to explain themselves through the medium of its pages. Officially cited as: Public Choice
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