实现抗洪战略的转型变革

WIREs Water Pub Date : 2024-03-26 DOI:10.1002/wat2.1722
Kerri McClymont, Lindsay Beevers, Melissa Bedinger, Guy Walker
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于气候变化和城市化的不断发展,洪水灾害日益严重。研究表明,社会弱势群体面临的洪水风险更大。预计今天存在的洪灾不利条件在未来将继续存在:这是一个顽固的问题。我们提出了一个大胆的新研究议程,以探索不同的物理、社会、制度和自然资源如何在城市地区相互作用,从而随着时间的推移影响社会机会。必须对这些相互作用进行建模,以了解受洪水影响地区的功能是如何因洪水暴露程度和频率的不同而退化的。将洪水暴露置于城市环境更广泛的功能视角中,可以采用基于地方的系统方法来提高抗灾能力。它揭示了空间不平等的潜在机制和补救措施。这样就可以设计出抗灾战略,以改变目前洪水带来的顽固劣势。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Creating transformational change in flood resilience strategies

Creating transformational change in flood resilience strategies
Flood hazards are increasing as a result of climate change and growing urbanization. Research has shown that people who are socially vulnerable are more exposed to flood risk. Flood disadvantage that exists today is projected to continue in the future: it is stubborn. We present a bold new research agenda for exploring how different physical, social, institutional, and natural resources interact in urban areas to influence social opportunities over time. These interactions must be modeled to understand how the flood-affected area is degraded, in terms of the functions it provides, as a result of varying levels and frequency of flood exposure. Nesting flood exposure within a wider functional view of urban environments enables a place-based, systems approach to resilience. It reveals the underlying mechanisms—and potential remediations—for spatial inequalities. In doing so resilience strategies can be designed to transform the current trajectory of stubborn disadvantage to flooding.
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