由混合泊松过程驱动的广义克拉梅尔-伦德伯格模型的溢价函数和毁损概率的一些数学特性

IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q3 MATHEMATICS, APPLIED
Masashi Tomita, Koichiro Takaoka, Motokazu Ishizaka
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文推导了 Tomita 等人提出的广义 Cramér-Lundberg 模型(J. Appl.59(3):849-859, 2022).该模型扩展了 Dubey 的贝叶斯估计模型。(Versicherungsmathematiker.我们研究了瞬时保费函数和毁损概率对驱动混合泊松过程强度的依赖结构。我们特别指出,在某些假设条件下,条件毁损概率与强度值是单调的。蒙特卡罗模拟表明,如果没有这些假设,单调性一般不会成立。我们的研究有助于保险公司的风险管理,因为它揭示了风险因素的假定分布与真实分布之间的差异如何影响毁损概率。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Some mathematical properties of the premium function and ruin probability of a generalized Cramér–Lundberg model driven by mixed poisson processes

Some mathematical properties of the premium function and ruin probability of a generalized Cramér–Lundberg model driven by mixed poisson processes

This paper derives several mathematical properties of the generalized Cramér–Lundberg model proposed by Tomita et al. (J. Appl. Probab. 59(3):849-859, 2022). The model extends the Bayesian-estimator model of Dubey. (Versicherungsmathematiker. 2:130-141, 1977) to the case of multiple insurance policies. We study the instantaneous premium function and the dependence structure of the ruin probability on the intensity of the driving mixed Poisson process. In particular, we show that the conditional ruin probability is monotonic with respect to the intensity value under certain assumptions. Monte Carlo simulations suggest that, without these assumptions, the monotonicity does not generally hold. Our study contributes to the risk management of insurance companies in the sense that it reveals how the difference between the assumed and true distribution of the risk factor affects the ruin probability.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
11.10%
发文量
56
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Japan Journal of Industrial and Applied Mathematics (JJIAM) is intended to provide an international forum for the expression of new ideas, as well as a site for the presentation of original research in various fields of the mathematical sciences. Consequently the most welcome types of articles are those which provide new insights into and methods for mathematical structures of various phenomena in the natural, social and industrial sciences, those which link real-world phenomena and mathematics through modeling and analysis, and those which impact the development of the mathematical sciences. The scope of the journal covers applied mathematical analysis, computational techniques and industrial mathematics.
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