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预测法国总统大选的期权定价方法

IF 2.7 4区 管理学 Q2 MANAGEMENT
Journal of the Operational Research Society Pub Date : 2024-04-08 DOI:10.1080/01605682.2024.2334339
John Fry, Thomas Hastings, Jane Binner
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引用次数: 0

摘要

主观概率论证表明，民调公司的得票率估计值可被解释为市场价格。相应的选举构成了已知未来日期的价格。...
本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。
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An options-pricing approach to forecasting the French presidential election
A subjective probability argument suggests vote-share estimates from polling companies can be interpreted as market prices. The corresponding election constitutes the price at a known future date. ...
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来源期刊
Journal of the Operational Research Society
Journal of the Operational Research Society 管理科学-运筹学与管理科学
CiteScore
6.80
自引率
13.90%
发文量
144
审稿时长
7.3 months
期刊介绍： JORS is an official journal of the Operational Research Society and publishes original research papers which cover the theory, practice, history or methodology of OR.
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