用各种核函数对多态应力强度模型的可靠性进行客观贝叶斯估计

IF 2.2 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL
Haijing Ma, Junmei Jia, Xiuyun Peng, Zaizai Yan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文讨论了基于不同核函数的多态应力强度模型(MSSM)可靠性的客观贝叶斯估计。对于多态应力强度模型,我们首先推导出可靠度函数和费雪信息矩阵。基于客观贝叶斯范式,我们构建了 MSSM 可靠性函数的 Jeffreys 先验、参考先验和概率匹配先验。随后,我们证明了这些先验是不恰当的密度,然后评估了这些先验对基于完整样本的 MSSM 可靠性贝叶斯估计值的影响。贝叶斯估计值是利用随机漫步 Metropolis-Hastings 技术计算得出的。我们采用蒙特卡罗模拟从平均偏差和均方误差的角度考察了贝叶斯估计对 MSSM 可靠性的有效性,同时从平均长度和覆盖概率的角度考察了最高后验密度可信区间。最后,对两个真实数据集进行了检验,证明了客观贝叶斯技术在小样本数据中的可行性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Objective Bayesian estimation for multistate stress‐strength model's reliability with various kernel functions
The paper discusses the objective Bayesian estimation of the reliability of a multistate stress‐strength model (MSSM) based on different kernel functions. For the MSSM, we first derive the reliability function and Fisher information matrix. The Jeffreys prior, reference prior, and probability matching prior for the reliability function of the MSSM are constructed based on the objective Bayesian paradigm. Subsequently, we demonstrated that these priors are improper density, then evaluated the effects of these priors on Bayes estimates for MSSM's reliability based on a complete sample. The Bayesian estimates are calculated using random walk Metropolis–Hastings techniques. We employ Monte Carlo simulation to examine the effectiveness of Bayes estimates for MSSM's reliability in terms of average bias and mean squared error, meanwhile the highest posterior density credible intervals are investigated in terms of average length and coverage probability. Finally, two real datasets were examined, demonstrating the viability of the objective Bayes technique for small sample data.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.90
自引率
21.70%
发文量
181
审稿时长
6 months
期刊介绍: Quality and Reliability Engineering International is a journal devoted to practical engineering aspects of quality and reliability. A refereed technical journal published eight times per year, it covers the development and practical application of existing theoretical methods, research and industrial practices. Articles in the journal will be concerned with case studies, tutorial-type reviews and also with applications of new or well-known theory to the solution of actual quality and reliability problems in engineering. Papers describing the use of mathematical and statistical tools to solve real life industrial problems are encouraged, provided that the emphasis is placed on practical applications and demonstrated case studies. The scope of the journal is intended to include components, physics of failure, equipment and systems from the fields of electronic, electrical, mechanical and systems engineering. The areas of communications, aerospace, automotive, railways, shipboard equipment, control engineering and consumer products are all covered by the journal. Quality and reliability of hardware as well as software are covered. Papers on software engineering and its impact on product quality and reliability are encouraged. The journal will also cover the management of quality and reliability in the engineering industry. Special issues on a variety of key topics are published every year and contribute to the enhancement of Quality and Reliability Engineering International as a major reference in its field.
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