国际经济一体化背景下乌克兰牛肉和小牛肉生产的现状和前景

Oleksandr Nechyporenko, Nadiia Kryvenko, Dmytro Liudvenko, Victoria Rud, Yuri L. Nosenko
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摘要

牛肉生产的动力来自于确保国家粮食安全、满足加工业对原材料的需求以及增加出口带来的国家预算收入。本研究的目的是突出世界和乌克兰牛肉生产的现状和趋势,在考虑国际经济一体化的情况下发现问题并寻找发展领域。采用的方法包括分析、综合、概括、说明、数学和图表。研究确定了全球牛肉和小牛肉产量的上升趋势、主要生产国以及几十年来它们在全球产量中所占份额的主要稳定性。研究发现,牛肉产量的提高并不总能带来人均产量的提高(如中国和印度)。乌克兰的产量及其在全球总量中所占的份额正在下降,尽管产量超过了消费量。研究发现,农业企业在经济实体结构中的份额正在下降,其数量与产量之间存在直接的依赖关系,这在森林-草原地区尤为突出。最大的生产地区(基辅、文尼察、哈尔科夫、利沃夫)得到了重点关注,战后这些地区有望得到优先发展。研究发现了产量下降的主要原因,包括牲畜数量减少、盈利能力下降和平均消费价格上涨。根据 SWOT 分析结果,确定了发展前景并提出了相关建议。建议将牛和牛肉数量减少的原因区分为一般原因以及与企业和家庭农场有关的原因,并强调它们之间的相互依存关系。研究强调国家有必要支持生产者,向居民免费提供粮食援助,并根据他们的经济水平以较低的价格购买产品。国际经济一体化被认为是提高牛肉产量的关键因素之一。研究强调,有必要考虑与之签订区域贸易协定的国家的居民消费偏好,特别是在犹太产品和清真产品的生产方面。这项研究的结果和提供的建议可用于制定政府措施,以提高牛肉产量并增加其在世界出口中的份额。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Status and prospects of beef and veal production in Ukraine in the context of international economic integration
Beef production is driven by the need to ensure the country’s food security, meet the processing industry’s demand for raw materials, and increase state budget revenues from exports. The purpose of this study was to highlight the status and trends of production in the world and Ukraine, to identify issues and find areas of development considering international economic integration. The methods employed were analysis, synthesis, generalisation, specification, mathematical, and graphical. The study identified the upward trend in global beef and veal production, the main producing countries and the predominant stability of their share in global volumes over the decades. It was found that higher beef production does not always allow for higher per capita volumes (e.g., in China and India). Ukraine’s production and its share in global volumes are declining, although production exceeds consumption. It was found that the share of agricultural enterprises in the structure of economic entities is decreasing, and there is a direct dependence between their number and production volumes, which prevails in the Forest-Steppe zone. The largest producing regions (Kyiv, Vinnytsia, Kharkiv, Lviv) were highlighted, where priority development in the post-war period is expected. The study found the principal reasons for the decline in production, including a decrease in livestock numbers, negative profitability, and rising average consumer prices. Based on the SWOT analysis results, development prospects were identified and relevant proposals were developed. The reasons for the decrease in the number of cattle and beef were proposed to be distinguished as general, and those related to enterprises and household farms; their interdependence was emphasised. The study stressed the need for state support for producers by providing food aid to the population free of charge and by purchasing products at lower prices depending on their financial level. International economic integration was singled out as one of the key factors of increasing beef production. The study emphasised the need to consider the consumer preferences of the population of countries with which regional trade agreements have been concluded, specifically regarding the production of kosher and halal products. The findings of this study and the proposals provided can be used to develop government measures to increase beef production and increase its share in world exports
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