地区工业综合体管理方法:基于代理的模型架构

A. Shorikov, G. Korovin, D. Sirotin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

工业是发达国家和个别地区的经济支柱。为了优化这样一个复杂和多层次部门的管理流程,必须开发特定的经济数学模型和实用工具。本文以现代理论-方法和工具(程序)为基础,讨论了地区工业综合体管理模式的优化结构。经典管理理论、优化理论和博弈论构成了本研究的方法论。所采用的研究方法包括基于代理的方法和最小化方法。我们证实了使用基于代理的模型来模拟管理地区工业综合体。本文提出了一个三级管理架构,包括联邦、地区和公司三级管理机构(按活动类型划分)。每个层级都确定了控制代理,并形成了一套指标,其中包括阶段矢量的结构,包括其属性、关键参数、使用的控制行动、风险、参数动态模型以及对象所拥有的数据模型。我们在模型中建立了管理和信息关系的分层结构,并基于最小极限方法,创建了一种代理努力选择最优控制行动的算法。所建议的架构将允许形成一个灵活的工具包,用于评估工业发展情景,并为区域工业综合体制定最佳的分步管理模式。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Methodology for regional industrial complex management: Architecture of an agent-based model
Industry is the backbone of the economy of developed countries and individual regions. To optimize management processes in such a complex and multi-level sector, specific economic-mathematical models and practical tools have to be developed. The paper discusses the optimal architecture of the regional industrial complex management model on a modern theoretical-methodological and instrumental (program) basis. The classical management theory, optimization theory and game theory constitute the methodology of this study. Among the research methods applied are agent-based and minimax approaches. We substantiate the use of agent-based modelling to simulate administering the regional industrial complex. The paper presents a three-tiered management architecture consisting of federal, regional and company level authorities (united by type of activity). For each level, control agents are identified and a set of indicators formed, which cover the structure of the phase vector, including its attributes, key parameters, control actions used, risks, a model of the parameters’ dynamics, and a model of the data possessed by the object. We build a hierarchical structure of administration and information relationships in the model and, based on the minimax approach, create an algorithm of agents’ efforts to select optimal control actions. The proposed architecture will allow forming a flexible toolkit for assessing industrial development scenarios and producing the best step-by-step management pattern of the regional industrial complex.
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