雅加达伊斯兰指数股票投资组合优化的 K-Medoids 聚类和平均风险值

Eka Sri Puspaningsih, Di Asih I Maruddani, Tarno Tarno
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摘要

投资组合的问题在于如何选择股票并确定其权重,以便以最小的风险获得最大的收益。投资组合是通过选择具有不同特征的股票来形成的。K-Medoids 聚类可用于对包含异常值的数据集进行分组。使用戴维斯-博尔丁指数验证聚类结果,以确定最佳聚类数量。通过考虑预期收益值和最小化 VaR 风险值,使用 Mean-VaR 方法确定投资组合权重。股票根据资产回报率、股本回报率、债务资产比和债务股本比进行分组。对雅加达伊斯兰指数股票进行聚类的结果是,根据每个聚类的最高预期收益值,得到六个投资组合成分股,包括 PTBA、ADRO、AKRA、EXCL、PTPP 和 UNVR。用 Mean-VaR 计算最优投资组合权重的结果显示,PTBA 的权重为 0.46536;AKRA 为 0.24018;EXCL 为 0.25421;UNVR 为 0.25392。ADRO 和 PTPP 股票的权重值分别为-0,07775 和-0,13593,为负值,这表明权重中存在卖空。在 95% 的置信水平下,投资组合的 VaR 值为 5.06%:聚类;K-Medoids;戴维斯-博尔丁指数;投资组合;均值-VaR
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
K-Medoids Clustering dan Mean-Value at Risk untuk Optimasi Portofolio Saham Jakarta Islamic Index
The problem of the portfolio is how to choose stocks and determine their weights in order to generate maximum returns with minimal risk. Portfolios are formed by selecting stocks that have different characteristics. K-Medoids Clustering can be used to group data sets that contain outliers. Validate cluster results using the Davies Bouldin Index to determine the best number of clusters. Portfolio weighting is determined using the Mean-VaR method by taking into account the expected return value and minimizing the VaR risk value. Stocks are grouped based on Return on Assets, Return on Equity, Debt to Asset Ratio, and Debt to Equity Ratio. The results of cluster formation on the Jakarta Islamic Index stocks obtained six portfolio constituent stocks based on the highest expected return value from each cluster, consisting of PTBA, ADRO, AKRA, EXCL, PTPP, and UNVR. The results of calculating the weight of the optimal portfolio with Mean-VaR obtained a weight for PTBA of 0.46536; AKRA of 0.24018; EXCL of 0.25421; and UNVR of 0.25392. ADRO and PTPP stocks have a negative weight value of -0,07775 and -0,13593 this indicates the occurrence of short selling in the weighting. At the 95% confidence level, the VaR portfolio value is 5.06%.Keywords: Clustering; K-Medoids; Daveis Bouldin Index; Portfolio; Mean-VaR
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