综合能源系统中基于 WOA 的 LSTM 混合模型的高效短期太阳能发电量预测

Amit Kumar Mittal, Kirti Mathur
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摘要

目标:由于太阳辐照和其他气象条件的不规则性,太阳能发电始终充满风险。如果没有采集到太阳辐射数据,也没有天空成像设备,那么改进预测就会变得更加困难。因此,我们的目标是提高明年太阳能发电数据的预测精度。研究方法我们的研究使用了澳大利亚和德国的真实太阳能发电数值数据集,并采用标准方法进行预处理。本研究中的特征选择使用了鲸鱼优化算法(WOA)。利用长短期记忆(LSTM)方法来确定太阳能预测的准确性。此外,还使用了 HHO(哈里斯-霍克斯优化)技术来提高太阳能预测的准确性。对性能进行了分析,并在 python 平台上采用了所提出的方法。研究结果:研究结果表明,与 LSTM 和 SVM 相比,在不同的数据类型、15 分钟和 60 分钟的时间间隔内,所建议的技术大大提高了短期太阳能预测的准确性,建议方法的准确性为 3.07。新颖性:本研究的主要新颖之处在于采用混合策略提高短期太阳能发电预测的精度。包括鲸鱼优化算法(WOA)、长短期记忆(LSTM)和哈里斯鹰优化(HHO)。关键词发电、太阳能预测、鲸鱼优化算法、长短期记忆、哈里斯鹰优化
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An Efficient Short-Term Solar Power Forecasting by Hybrid WOA-Based LSTM Model in Integrated Energy System
Objectives: Due to the irregular nature of sun irradiation and other meteorological conditions, solar power generation is constantly loaded with risks. When solar radiation data isn't captured and sky imaging equipment isn't available, improving forecasting becomes a more difficult endeavor. So our objective to improve the forecasting accuracy for next year solar power generation data. Methods: Our research used a real numerical solar power dataset of Australia and Germany and a standard approach for preprocessing. The feature selection in this research uses the Whale Optimization Algorithm (WOA). A Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) method is utilized to determine the accuracy of solar power forecasts. The HHO (Harris Hawks Optimization) technique is also used to improve solar power forecasting accuracy. The performances were analyzed and the proposed method is employed in the python platform. Findings: The findings show that the suggested technique considerably increases the accuracy of short-term solar power forecasts for proposed method is 3.07 in comparison of LSTM and SVM at different data types and 15 min and 60 min interval. Novelty: The key novelties of this research is hybrid strategy for improving the precision of solar power forecasting for short periods of time. Including the Whale Optimization Algorithm (WOA), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and Harris Hawks Optimization (HHO). Keywords: Power generation, Solar power forecasting, Whale optimization algorithm, Long Short­Term Memory, Harris hawk's optimization
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