巴基斯坦的政治体制类型与收入不平等

Wasiq Ullah Hamdard, Irfan Ullah Stanikzai
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引用次数: 0

摘要

收入不平等的加剧是巴基斯坦经济的主要问题之一。人们从不同层面对其进行了研究。不同的横截面和面板研究广泛考察了特定时期政治制度类型与收入不平等之间的联系。研究结果表明,不同国家和地区之间存在很大差异。本研究利用 1972 年至 2019 年的时间序列数据,深入探讨了政治制度类型与收入不平等之间的关系,特别是在巴基斯坦。为衡量政治体制类型,本研究采用了政体指数(Polity index),而基尼系数(Gini-Coefficient)则作为衡量收入不平等的指标。此外,本研究还考虑了各种因素,如人均 GDP、直接税占 GDP 的比例、政府教育支出占 GDP 的比例以及政府社区和社会服务支出占 GDP 的比例,以控制其直接影响。数据的静态性通过增强型 Dickey-Fuller 检验进行评估,而自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型则用于检验模型中各变量之间的协整关系。估计的实证结果证实,巴基斯坦的政治体制类型与贫富差距之间存在持久的相关性。研究结果表明,不同的政治体制对国家的经济差距有明显的不利影响。更准确地说,政体得分每增加 1%,基尼系数就会长期下降 0.45%,短期下降 0.25%。这表明,巴基斯坦应努力建立稳定的民主政治框架,并制定可持续的经济政策,以成功解决收入差距问题,实现理想的收入分配水平。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Political Regime Types and Income Inequality in Pakistan
Rising income inequality is one of the major issues in the Pakistani economy. It has been investigated in different dimensions. Different cross-sectional and panel studies have extensively examined the connection between political regime types and income inequality over a specific period. The findings have displayed significant variations across countries and regions. This study delves into exploring the relationship between political regime types and income inequality, specifically in Pakistan, utilizing time series data spanning from 1972 to 2019. To measure political regime types, the Polity index is employed, while the Gini-Coefficient serves as the metric for income inequality. Additionally, this research takes into account various factors, such as GDP per capita, the ratio of direct taxes to GDP, the percentage of government expenditure on education relative to GDP, and the percentage of government expenditure on community and social services relative to GDP, in order to control for their direct effects. The stationarity of the data is assessed using the augmented Dickey-Fuller test, while the autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) model is employed to examine the cointegrating relationship among the variables in the model. The empirical findings from the estimation affirm the presence of a lasting correlation between Pakistan's political regime types and wealth disparities. The findings show that different political regimes have a notable detrimental effect on the nation's economic disparity. To be more precise, a one percent increase in the Polity score is associated with a 0.45 percent long-term and a 0.25 percent short-term fall in the Gini Coefficient. This suggests that Pakistan should work toward a stable democratic political framework and put into place sustainable economic policies in order to successfully address income disparity and achieve a desirable level of income distribution
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