三胎政策背景下温州居民的生育意愿及其影响因素研究

Ziyue Cai
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摘要

生育率持续下降和人口老龄化是当今世界面临的重大社会问题。一方面,人口老龄化导致劳动力总量减少,生产率下降,随着老年人口比例的增加,养老保险、医疗资源等社会保障的压力将逐渐增大。另一方面,生育率下降意味着新增劳动力供给不足。因此,许多国家纷纷实施各种生育政策,鼓励民众提高生育率,以解决低生育率和人口老龄化对社会发展的负面影响。本文以三孩政策为背景,研究温州居民的生育意愿及其影响因素。本文以温州市瓯海区为例,研究了1980-2023年瓯海区居民的生育状况、生育意愿以及生育意愿的影响因素,并提出了促进瓯海区居民生育意愿的建议。希望本文能为政府相关部门有效推进三孩政策提供参考价值,让更多的家庭愿意继续生育,有效解决我国当前面临的人口老龄化和低生育率问题。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Study on the Fertility Intention of Wenzhou Residents and Its Influencing Factors under the Background of the Three-Child Policy
The continuing decline in fertility and population ageing are major social issues facing the world today. On the one hand, population aging leads to a decrease in the total workforce and a decline in productivity, and with the increase in the proportion of elderly people, the pressure on social security, such as pension insurance and medical resources, will gradually increase. On the other hand, the decline in fertility rate means that the supply of new labor force will be insufficient. Therefore, a large number of countries have implemented various fertility policies to encourage the public to increase the fertility rate, so as to solve the negative impacts of low fertility rate and population aging on social development. This paper stands on the background of the three-child policy and investigates the fertility intention of Wenzhou residents and its influencing factors. Taking Ouhai District of Wenzhou as an example, this paper investigates the fertility situation of Ouhai residents, fertility intention, and the influencing factors of fertility intention from 1980 to 2023, and puts forward the suggestions to promote the fertility intention of residents in Ouhai District. It is expected that this paper can provide reference value for relevant government departments to effectively promote the three-child policy, so that more families are willing to continue to give birth, and effectively solve the problems of population aging and low fertility rate that China is currently facing.
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