印度尼西亚和美国货币因素对印尼盾汇率波动的影响。

Hizkia Juliano Sunday, N. Yuliarmi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

如果一个国家要与其他国家进行经济交易(国际贸易),汇率就会发挥重要作用。印尼经济伙伴国发生的经济变化迅速影响了印尼经济。印尼的经济伙伴之一是美国,其货币美元是世界货币,因此美国基本面的变化将对印尼盾兑美元的汇率产生影响。印尼银行作为印尼的中央银行,总是试图通过各种政策来稳定印尼盾。一个国家的货币价值稳定,表明该国的经济状况稳定。本研究的目的是分析印尼通胀、美国通胀、印尼利率和美国利率同时和部分对印尼盾汇率的影响。本研究采用联想的形式在印尼进行定量研究。本研究使用的是 2018 - 2021 年的月度数据,因此本研究的样本量为 48 个观察值(观测值)。使用的数据分析技术是面板数据回归分析。结果显示,印尼通胀、美国通胀、印尼利率和美国利率同时对印尼盾兑美元汇率产生显著影响。印尼通胀率对印尼盾兑美元汇率没有显著的负面影响。美国通胀率和印尼利率对印尼盾兑美元的汇率有积极而显著的影响。关键词:通货膨胀、利率、汇率 Klasifikasi JEL:C68, F43, L52
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
VOLATILITAS NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH YANG DIPENGARUHI FAKTOR MONETER INDONESIA DAN AMERIKA SERIKAT
The exchange rate plays an important role if a country is going to carry out economic transactions (international trade) with other countries. The economic changes that occurred in Indonesia's economic partner countries quickly affected the Indonesian economy. One of Indonesia's economic partners, namely the United States, whose currency is the dollar is the world's currency, so that changes in United States fundamentals will have an impact on the rupiah exchange rate against the dollar. Bank Indonesia as the central bank in Indonesia always tries to stabilize the rupiah through various policies. A country that has a stable currency value indicates that the country has a stable economic condition. The purpose of this study is to analyze the effect of Indonesian inflation, US inflation, Indonesian interest rates, and US interest rates simultaneously and partially on the Rupiah exchange rate. This research uses a quantitative approach in the form of associative conducted in Indonesia. This study uses monthly data from 2018 - 2021 so that the sample size in this research is 48 observations (observations). The data analysis technique used is panel data regression analysis. The results showed that Indonesia's inflation, US inflation, Indonesian interest rates, and US interest rates simultaneously had a significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate against the dollar. Indonesian inflation has no negative and significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate against the dollar. United States inflation and Indonesian interest rates have a positive and significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate against the dollar. Keywords: inflation, interest rates, exchange rates Klasifikasi JEL: C68, F43, L52
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