尼日利亚汇率:尼日利亚汇率向布哈里执政前的水平靠拢

Adejoke Oyebanji-Umaigba, Silva Opuala - Charles
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摘要

本文探讨了尼日利亚汇率政策的发展轨迹,研究了这些政策的演变及其对奈拉币值的影响。从固定汇率时代到最近的统一汇率制度,本研究剖析了历史变迁及其对经济的影响。从 20 世纪 70 年代至今,尼日利亚的汇率制度经历了不同的时代。各种因素导致了汇率政策变化的必要性;然而,多年来政策变化的结果却受到了侵蚀,奈拉的价值一直在持续下降。本文对造成奈拉持续贬值的主要因素进行了分析,包括进口依赖、石油减产和通货膨胀。此外,还分析了货币投机的作用和政府政策的影响。本文建议采取短期措施,如调整汇率政策和取消进口限制,以及长期解决方案,包括基础设施建设和行业增长。政府应密切监控汇率市场的行为,确保利用财政和货币政策实施干预,以增强尼日利亚的经济韧性,应对奈拉的持续贬值。关键词汇率、汇率制度、全球化、财政政策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Nigeria Exchange Rate: Towards Nigeria’s Exchange Rate Convergence to Pre-Buhari Years
This paper explores the trajectory of Nigeria’s exchange rate policies, examining their evolution and impacts on the Naira’s value. From the fixed exchange rate era to the recent Unified Exchange Rate System, the study dissects historical shifts and their repercussions on the economy. The Nigerian exchange rate regime has gone through different eras from 1970s till date. Various factors necessitated the need for exchange rate policy changes; however, the result of the policy changes have over the years been eroded and its value has been on a continuous decline. Key factors contributing to the Naira’s persistent decline, including import dependency, reduced oil production, and inflation, are scrutinized. The role of currency speculation and the impact of government policies are also analyzed. The paper recommends short-term measures, such as adjusting exchange rate policies and lifting import restrictions, and long-term solutions, including infrastructure development and sectoral growth. The government should monitor the behavior of the exchange rate market closely and ensure interventions using both fiscal and monetary policies are implemented to fortify Nigeria’s economic resilience and counter the continuous depreciation of the Naira. Keywords: Exchange Rate, Exchange rate regime, globalization, fiscal policy.
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